Friday, November 8, 2024

Who Else Ought to Have Made Our High 50 Free Agent Rankings?

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports activities

On Monday, we revealed this 12 months’s installment of our annual High 50 Free Agent rankings. These rankings have been compiled by Ben Clemens, with the gamers listed within the order wherein he prefers them, however he’d be the primary to inform you that there isn’t plenty of daylight separating most of the guys towards the again of the record. Significantly in a category like this, with plenty of good-but-not-great free brokers, there are most likely quite a few gamers who fell simply outdoors the High 50 who you could possibly argue advantage inclusion. With that in thoughts, I requested the writers who offered the player-specific commentary for this 12 months’s rankings a query: Which participant who didn’t make the record would you may have included in your private High 50?

These are their solutions, with the gamers listed in alphabetical order. Take pleasure in! – Meg Rowley

Scott Barlow, Reduction Pitcher
Reliable relievers are particularly helpful in right now’s recreation, and that ought to make Scott Barlow a horny, comparatively low-cost choice on the free agent market. During the last 4 seasons, the 31-year-old right-hander has averaged 66 appearances with a 3.21 ERA, a 3.38 FIP, and a 27.7% strikeout charge. Sliders and curveballs have been his main weapons. Once I talked to Tim Herrin earlier this summer time, Barlow’s then teammate known as him “Scotty Spin,” saying that he had “the most effective breaking stuff” within the Cleveland Guardians bullpen.

Which brings us to a caveat. Whereas Barlow’s general observe report is considered one of dependability, his 2024 season ended prematurely as a result of an absence of effectiveness in August and early September. After logging a 3.12 ERA, a 3.49 FIP, and a 31.4% strikeout charge over 50 appearances by way of July, he noticed these numbers plummet to eight.49, 6.00, and 17.% over his subsequent 13 outings, prompting the Guardians to chop him unfastened on September 11. That he wasn’t subsequently picked up by one other crew is additional indication that the standard of his stuff wasn’t seen as being as much as snuff.

As for what the current previous means for the foreseeable future, that’s one thing potential employers might want to work out. Barlow has certainly seen his velocity drop and his stroll charge enhance, however are these correctable hiccups or indicators that his greatest days are behind him? No matter what in the end proves true, groups can be kicking the tires as free company unfolds. – David Laurila

Matthew Boyd, Beginning Pitcher
Matthew Boyd hasn’t thrown greater than 78.2 innings in a season since his 2019 with the Tigers, a breakout marketing campaign throughout which he struck out 30.2% of the batters he confronted whereas commerce rumors swirled. He ended up staying in Detroit for the remainder of that season and one other two years after, however since then, he’s bounced round, going from the Mariners again to the Tigers, earlier than lastly touchdown with the Guardians in 2024.

His eight begins with Cleveland have been his greatest displaying since that 2019 breakout, with a 2.72 ERA and 27.7% strikeout charge previous a postseason wherein he gave up only one run in 11.2 innings whereas placing out 14. Persevering with a pattern from the common season, October Boyd relied much less on his fastball and extra on a stable changeup/slider/curveball combine. That ought to assist allay any considerations a crew might need about an getting older pitcher shedding velocity, although Boyd’s common fastball velo has remained pretty fixed lately.

Boyd began 2024 rehabbing from elbow surgical procedure and thus didn’t signal with the Guardians till halfway by way of the season, although he nonetheless made $1.75 million for his half-season’s value of labor. The final time he was wholesome getting into an offseason was previous to the 2023 season, when he parlayed 13.2 nice aid innings with the Mariners right into a $10 million contract to return to Detroit. Logically it follows that Boyd ought to have the ability to beat that Tigers deal, particularly with the additional benefit of three dominant begins on the postseason stage. One thing like $14 million-$16 million for one 12 months, or $20 million-$25 million for 2, feels about proper. – Jon Becker

Yimi García, Reduction Pitcher
For a lot of the 2024 season, Yimi García appeared like considered one of baseball’s greatest relievers. His fastball dismantled hitters, topping out at 99 mph from a vicious strategy angle. However as quickly as he landed in Seattle on the deadline, his stuff didn’t look proper. After a couple of rocky August outings, he landed on the injured record with what proved to be season-ending proper elbow irritation.

If García had stayed wholesome, he possible would’ve ended up ranked on the High 50, possibly someplace above the cluster of previous relievers like Aroldis Chapman and David Robertson. By means of July, his Okay% – BB% ranked seventh amongst all bullpen arms, as he struck out 36.5% of the hitters he confronted whereas limiting harm on contact. His strategy is unorthodox for a reliever. There’s the four-seam fastball, which had among the finest velocity/vertical strategy angle mixtures within the majors — however he solely threw it 38% of the time. His different 5 pitches — three breaking balls, a sinker, and a changeup — permit for a number of assault plans towards each right-handed and left-handed hitters.

A kitchen sink arsenal, fairly correct command, and a top-end fastball — give García a wholesome proper elbow, and he would slot into the again of any contender’s bullpen. – Michael Rosen

Enrique Hernández, Utilityman
At first look, it may appear straightforward to dismiss Enrique Hernández, who hit for simply an 83 wRC+, the fifth time up to now six years that he’s been at 86 or decrease. Nonetheless, simply earlier than the All-Star break, an intensive eye examination revealed that the 33-year-old suffers from astigmatism in his proper eye. It prevented him from choosing up the spin of the baseball till he began sporting glasses, whereupon his efficiency improved markedly. After hitting an anemic .191/.258/.299 (59 wRC+) by way of the primary half, he improved to .274/.307/.458 (112 wRC+) within the second, trimming his strikeout charge by over three factors. He carried his enchancment into the postseason, the place he got here up with some enormous hits whereas batting .294/.357/.451 (129 wRC+) in 57 PA, persevering with his long term of October excellence.

Sure, there was most likely some regression and/or luck concerned in Hernández’s turnaround, as he fell effectively wanting his Statcast anticipated numbers within the first half however outdid them considerably within the second, and really chased extra pitches outdoors the zone (and walked much less regularly) after getting glasses. Nonetheless, he’s a sure-handed defender who can do every thing besides catch (he even pitched 4.1 innings in 2024, and made a number of begins at second, third, and heart subject in October), doesn’t get overwhelmed on the largest stage, and has an ideal popularity as a teammate and clubhouse presence. Any crew might use his good vibes. – Jay Jaffe

Kyle Higashioka, Catcher
Function gamers don’t seize large headlines in the course of the winter, however wanting on the free brokers who didn’t make our High 50, Kyle Higashioka is the one who fascinates me probably the most. Higgy’s by no means been a full-time starter within the majors, however at a time when groups more and more take a look at the catcher place as a tandem state of affairs, a part-time backstop who can hit the occasional homer whereas additionally dealing with the defensive aspect of issues is a tantalizing addition. During the last three seasons, Higashioka has been value 4.5 WAR over 771 plate appearances (2.6 WAR per 450 PA). And after beginning 2024 as Luis Campusano’s backup, he seized the lion’s share of the taking part in time by late summer time and began all seven of San Diego’s postseason video games.

Sure, he turns 35 early subsequent season, however a lot of the different part-time-ish catchers out there in free company are additionally up there in age, and Higashioka has fewer innings in his knees (in some instances, significantly fewer) than actually all of the catchers however Danny Jansen. The low on-base proportion hurts, however the general bundle makes Higashioka a high-quality plug-and-play choice, and his glove is sweet sufficient that he can tackle a bigger function in a pinch. – Dan Szymborski

Jose Iglesias, Shortstop
Thesis: Jose Iglesias simply hit .337/.381/.448 as an excellent defensive center infielder, produced 2.5 WAR in about half a season, and ended the 12 months hitting in the course of the order for a crew that made the NLCS. How on earth is that this man not one of many prime 50 free brokers?

Antithesis: Iglesias put up these numbers thanks to not some revolution in strategy or contact high quality, however a comically fluky .382 BABIP. He’s nonetheless a Punch-and-Judy hitter with a GB/FB ratio near 2.00 and a stroll charge that solely peeks over 4.0% in good years. He’ll be 35 in January, and he hasn’t posted a wRC+ over 100 in a full season since 2013. Why is he something greater than a non-roster invitee?

Synthesis: Any sane individual would take the beneath on Iglesias repeating his 137 wRC+ from 2024, however the reality is he hasn’t been a horrible hitter for a while. Leaving apart short-season outliers in 2020 and 2024, Iglesias has posted high-80s wRC+ marks fairly routinely since 2018. Add in solid-to-plus protection – in a market the place you guys assume Gleyber Torres, the Man with the Iron Mitt, goes to get $18 million a 12 months – and Iglesias has been a minimum of a 1.0 WAR participant in each season wherein he’s taken half, courting again to 2013. That looks like damning with faint reward, however what number of guys on the again finish of our High 50 record are platoon nook outfielders or no. 5 starters who’ve that sort of manufacturing as a ceiling? Give the person an opportunity. – Michael Baumann

Jonathan Loáisiga, Reduction Pitcher
There may be principally no time between after we watch the gamers who’re thrust into significant postseason spots and after we take a look at the record of impending free brokers, and when digesting that record of names, it’s pure to contemplate who has the expertise to thrive in these harrowing October moments. Although he has suffered a litany of accidents all through his profession, most not too long ago needing Tommy John surgical procedure in April of 2024, the wholesome model of Jonathan Loáisiga fairly clearly has the stuff to be a contender’s high-leverage bullpen weapon.

Loáisiga’s damage historical past is terrifying, and his subsequent deal ought to look much like the one-year, $10 million contract the Dodgers gave Blake Treinen means again in 2019 when he was additionally a talented-but-injured enigma. Loáisiga has had 14 IL stints since his 2013 professional debut with San Francisco, the membership that launched him earlier than he left the DSL partly as a result of he couldn’t keep wholesome. The Yankees signed him after he was seen pitching for Nicaragua in a global event, and regardless of a number of extra accidents (usually to his shoulder) throughout his improvement, Loáisiga ultimately turned an necessary a part of New York’s large league bullpen.

For a short while, anyway. He has solely exceeded 48 innings in a season as soon as (70.2 IP in 2021) as a result of accidents have wreaked such havoc on his profession. Earlier than he blew out in April, Loáisiga was sitting 97-99 mph with nasty sink, whereas additionally that includes his often vicious upper-80s slider and a low-90s energy changeup. He has principally appeared this fashion whereas he’s been wholesome for his complete profession, together with all through 2023 when he additionally handled elbow points (2022 was the final time he had a shoulder damage). The timing of Loáisiga’s surgical procedure means he’ll be again early sufficient in 2025 to make an impression on a giant portion of the season and, in the correct state of affairs, the postseason. His ceiling as a high-leverage reliever is sufficiently big to advantage inclusion close to the again of our High 50. — Eric Longenhagen

Chris Martin, Reduction Pitcher
Chris Martin is 38 years previous. Anxiousness and elbow irritation restricted him to 45 appearances in 2024. As purple flags go, that’s about it. In the future, Martin will cease being efficient, however there’s no motive specifically to consider that day will are available 2025. His fastball velocity was nonetheless a bit above the league common in 2024, and as for his efficiency, effectively, he was the identical man as ever. He leans closely on a superb cutter and an excellent four-seamer, together with the occasional splitter or sinker to maintain hitters off steadiness. He ran a 3.45 ERA and a 2.78 FIP, and the anticipated variations of these stats have been even higher. Martin’s 35.2% chase charge was among the many greatest in baseball. Amongst pitchers with a minimum of 40 innings pitched, his 1.7% stroll charge was the best possible. None of that is new.

From 2019 to 2024, Martin’s 6.0 WAR ranks ninth amongst all relievers, slightly below Kenley Jansen and Edwin Díaz. He has a 2.81 ERA and a 2.77 FIP over that span, and he’s equally efficient towards lefties and righties. He’s a World Collection champion with a 1.88 ERA over 15 postseason appearances. The final time he ran an FIP above 3.50 was 2018, when he was at 3.52. What contender wouldn’t desire a man like that popping out of the bullpen? – Davy Andrews

J.D. Martinez, Designated Hitter
When you get all the way down to the gamers who didn’t make our High 50, there aren’t many high-upside guys left. J.D. Martinez is an exception. It’s not onerous to see why Ben left him off: He’s already 37, and his 108 wRC+ this previous season was unimpressive for a DH. But, there nonetheless is perhaps middle-of-the-order manufacturing inside this getting older slugger’s bat.

In 2023, Martinez put up a 135 wRC+ throughout 113 video games. He hit at a comparable tempo by way of the primary half of 2024, posting a 130 wRC+ over 66 contests. A second-half hunch diminished his full-season stat line, however understand that his .258 BABIP after the All-Star break was one of many lowest figures he’s produced in any equally lengthy stretch of his profession. In the meantime, his .334 xwOBA in that point was nonetheless effectively above common. Certainly, Martinez completed the season with an 88th-percentile xwOBA. For comparability, he ranked within the 91st percentile in 2023, the 83rd in 2022, and the 88th in 2021. He was an All-Star all three years. What’s extra, Martinez confirmed higher plate self-discipline in 2024 than he did the 12 months earlier than. He decreased his chase, whiff, and strikeout charges whereas strolling at his highest clip since 2019.

Time comes for everybody ultimately, and Martinez may very well be nearing the tip of the street. Then once more, I wouldn’t be shocked if he’s a greater hitter subsequent 12 months than anybody under Joc Pederson on our High 50. He ought to have the ability to discover somebody to guess on that upside. – Leo Morgenstern

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