Final week on the John Deere Traditional introduced a brand new which means to the phrase “Birdiefest.” Davis Thompson gained in a record-setting efficiency, ending the event 28-under par. There have been 16 golfers at 20-under or higher. Certain, the mushy circumstances from the rain helped rather a lot, however this course is destroyed by the rivals 12 months in and 12 months out.
Fortunately, we have been on Thompson to win at +2200, giving us our seventh outright win of the season!
We now flip our consideration to the Scottish Open, a co-sanctioned occasion between the PGA and DP World Tour.
Scottie Scheffler just isn’t taking part in this week, however the discipline continues to be stacked.
Listed here are the important thing metrics I used when constructing my mannequin on the Renaissance Membership.
Key Metrics:
- Driving Distance
- Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
- SG: Method
- SG: Across the Inexperienced
- SG: Placing
- SG: Par 5
- SG: Par 3
- Birdie or Higher Gained
- 3-Putt Avoidance
Scottish Open Winner
Rory McIlroy +850
Generally, betting on the betting favourite feels lazy or appears like I’m dishonest. Preliminary ideas had me betting on one among two golfers on this event. Xander Schaffuele (+850) or Ludvig Aberg (+1600). The worth I used to be betting Schaffuele at could be +1000; it probably would’ve been that had Scheffler been within the discipline. And I can’t wager Aberg at +1600. He’s glorious, and the metrics line up, however I’d as a substitute take an opportunity on one other brief possibility at this value.
My betting mannequin’s high three are McIlroy, Schaffuele, and Aberg. An ideal pivot to McIlroy, final 12 months’s champion, was so as. McIlroy is a deserving event favourite. He’s first in SG: APP, SG: Par 3, and BoB Gained. He’s second in driving distance, solely behind Chris Gotterup. He’s the mannequin golfer to win this occasion, therefore his historic win final 12 months.
The most important query McIlroy faces is, “The place is his head at?” After his brutal gut-wrenching end on the US Open, will he be able to compete on the highest degree? My guess is sure!
I anticipated one other nice exhibiting from the person who loves nationwide opens greater than anybody on Tour.
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