Feb 26, 2025; Jupiter, Florida, USA; Miami Marlins proper fielder Jesus Sanchez (7) appears to be like on from contained in the dugout in opposition to the New York Mets in the course of the fourth inning at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium. Obligatory Credit score: Sam Navarro-Imagn Pictures A stunning flip of occasions in final evening’s over/beneath, because the Seattle Mariners pulled off the uncommon feat of hanging a left-hander — and one at that. We’re nonetheless vying for the primary win of the week, and hopefully that comes on this Winsday night in South Seaside.
It’s there the place the Arizona Diamondbacks and Miami Marlins will play the sandwich tilt of their three-game set. A battle of gifted younger right-handers is on the billing after the D-backs claimed the sequence opener in a rout.
A kind of starters is arguably the very best of his membership’s rotation proper now — and I say that even with the utmost affection for Sandy Alcantara. Sure, a reliable argument might be made that 26-year-old Max Meyer is the cream of the Marlins’ crop at this second, and the work he’s displayed so far in 2025 justifies such a perception.
Meyer is coming off in all probability the very best outing of his profession — in our beneath victory final Wednesday — stifling the Mets throughout six-plus shutout innings and scattering solely two hits and two walks. This task was an enormous stride within the profession of Meyer, representing the primary time he strung collectively a scoreless begin (not together with his second MLB task three years in the past when he exited within the first on account of damage).
The 2020 No. 3 general draft decide is off to a sensational begin this season, having allowed solely 4 mixed runs throughout his three turns. He’s additionally produced a nifty 19-to-5 Ok/BB ratio in these 18 innings of labor whereas yielding solely a single homer.
Clearly, Meyer’s breakout is right here — and it’s a good suggestion to journey him whereas he’s rising. As I detailed earlier than his sport final week, that is somebody who was already within the means of lifting off a 12 months in the past with a superb April, earlier than the Marlins curiously despatched him all the way down to handle his workload (to be truthful, it was following his return from Tommy John surgical procedure).
One thing that might significantly assist Meyer in his efforts is the truth that Ketel Marte (hamstring) is presently sidelined on the injured record. Whereas Arizona nonetheless has a good quantity of ammo in its lineup, this can be a massive blow provided that Marte is perhaps their high general offensive participant. He did end third within the Nationwide League MVP voting final season, keep in mind.
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Marte’s absence has been noticeable. Within the Diamondbacks’ first eight contests of the 12 months earlier than his absence, they have been averaging 6.4 runs per sport. Within the 9 video games since, that scoring output has dipped almost two full runs.
In the meantime, Brandon Pfaadt will get the ball for the street aspect. After being a well-liked sleeper decide by analysts and followers alike, the third-year right-hander has come by way of on these prognostications by being a top quality begin machine. If not for a two-out, sixth-inning solo dwelling run in his second outing, Pfaadt would have three high quality begins to his identify to begin the marketing campaign.
The Louisville, Kentucky, native has gone precisely six innings apiece in all of his assignments so far and regarded stable every day trip. Of observe, he’s registered a powerful 1.06 WHIP, which might simply greatest his career-best mark from final 12 months (1.24) if it stays round there. Moreover, his batting common in opposition to (.242) is significantly decrease than it’s been in any of his different main league seasons.
Tonight’s date brings Pfaadt a matchup in opposition to one of many weakest lineups round. Whereas Miami has been scoring a bit greater than anticipated within the early going (4.3 runs per sport), the very fact stays they’ve resided within the backside 5 of baseball in runs scored in every of the previous 4 seasons. I don’t count on the Fish to proceed surging with what they’ve penned on the lineup card every day.
Though that is already a higher-than-usual whole for a sport emanating from loanDepot park, I nonetheless recommend transferring onto the all-important variety of 9 by buying half a run.
Decide: UNDER 9 (-135, bet365)
2025 MLB Betting File: 10-9-1, -0.38 unit
Over/Unders: 9-7-1
Props: 1-1
MLs: 0-1
Every wager graded as if it have been to win one unit except in any other case indicated.
Comply with me on X (previously Twitter) @MattZylbert for potential further picks.
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