Mar 30, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; San Francisco Giants beginning pitcher Robbie Ray (38) pitches towards the Cincinnati Reds within the first inning at Nice American Ball Park. Necessary Credit score: Katie Stratman-Imagn Pictures A bumpy night for each beginning pitchers wreaked havoc on final evening’s guess — a few of which wasn’t their fault. We’ll strive once more within the subsequent sport, this one in San Francisco.
The Giants hosted the Seattle Mariners for his or her dwelling opener yesterday in what turned out to be a wild affair. The rating was knotted 8-8 even earlier than the seventh inning and in the end spilled into extras, the place the Bay Space residents would thwart a one-run deficit within the backside of the eleventh. They received it on a walk-off two-run knock from large free-agent acquisition Willy Adames.
Whereas yesterday’s ballgame featured a whopping 19 runs, don’t count on something near that within the encore. There’s a pitching matchup readily available with the potential to showcase a duel.
Robbie Ray will get the ball for his second begin of his second marketing campaign with the Giants. Final 12 months was Ray’s return from Tommy John surgical procedure, doing so with San Francisco after his former membership — tonight’s opponent — traded him in January 2024. The veteran southpaw went on to make seven begins, and whereas he produced an underwhelming 4.70 ERA, the opposite stats had been constructive sufficient to consider he may reclaim his previous kind.
In these seven video games, Ray notched 12.6 strikeouts per 9 innings (albeit with 4.4 walks per 9) and restricted opposing batters to a .189 common. He additionally had a 3.72 anticipated ERA.
Spring coaching was very encouraging for the 2021 American League Cy Younger Award winner as nicely, logging a 1.86 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, .157 batting common towards and 10.7 Okay/9 in 19 1/3 innings.
Ray’s season debut got here final Sunday in Cincinnati and turned out pretty nicely, even incomes a victory. The one drawback was that of his three hits allowed, two went for homers. Nevertheless, that may all the time be a product of beginning a sport at hitter-friendly Nice American Ball Park.
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The location of tonight’s outing, Oracle Park, is without doubt one of the finest pitcher’s parks within the league, and Ray will get an project reverse his ex-mates, who had been the worst lineup in baseball towards left-handers a 12 months in the past.
As highlighted beforehand on this column, the Mariners completed lifeless final in workforce batting common with a lefty on the mound, registering an atrocious .213 mark in that division. Moreover, they punched out as soon as each 3.5 at-bats.
To date this season, Seattle is hitting .220 off southpaws and has gone down through strikeout 29 occasions already in simply 91 at-bats. Even other than the revenge-game issue, Ray may presumably feast right here.
We’ll additionally hope for respectable work from the counterpart, Bryce Miller, additionally making his second begin. The 26-year-old — a darkish horse Cy Younger choose by some — put the baseball world on discover final season when he went 12-8 with a 2.94 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Moreover, he saved opposing hitters proper on the Mendoza Line (.200) in batting common towards.
Miller exhibited combined ends in his first flip of the 12 months towards the Athletics. Whereas he did enable a bit too many baserunners (eight), the Texas A&M alum additionally was just one out away from a high quality begin.
If he can stick round a bit longer this time, Miller is in a high quality spot to build up a high quality flip. The Giants are sometimes one of many lighter-hitting groups in entrance of the hometown devoted — resulting from their spacious ballpark — and cranked out the second fewest homers at dwelling a season in the past.
One last ingredient that might assist preserve a low rating is the umpire behind the plate tonight. James Hoye can be calling balls and strikes, and is nearly as good to pitchers as anyone. I’m including the additional half run with the thought that 8 is absolutely the ceiling.
Choose: Beneath 8 (-143, DraftKings)
2025 MLB Betting Document: 5-4-1, +0.53 unit
Over/Unders: 4-3
Props: 1-0
MLs: 0-1
Yesterday’s End result: Guardians-Angels Beneath 8 (loss)
Every guess graded as if it had been to win one unit until in any other case said.
Comply with me on X (previously Twitter) @MattZylbert for potential further picks.
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