The Mariners introduced that they’ve signed outfielder Víctor Robles to a contract extension. It reportedly ensures him $9.75MM over the following two years, which features a $1.25MM signing bonus. He can earn an additional $2MM through bonuses/escalators, $1MM in every season, $500K for reaching 500 plate appearances and one other $500K for 600 plate appearances. The Mariners could have a $9MM membership choice for 2027. Robles is represented by Republik Sports activities.
The deal is an indication of what a outstanding turnaround it’s been for Robles prior to now two months. After years of struggles with the Nationals, he was designated for task on the finish of Could. They reportedly then explored trades with different golf equipment however couldn’t discover any takers. Since Robles had sufficient service time to reject an outright task whereas holding what remained of this 12 months’s $2.65MM wage, the Nats merely launched him.
The Mariners took a shot on him, which primarily got here with no danger. The Nats had been nonetheless on the hook for many of his wage, leaving the Mariners to pay simply the prorated league minimal, with that quantity subtracted from what the Nats pay.
For that minimal funding, the Mariners have already been massively rewarded. In 42 video games for Seattle, he has three dwelling runs and a batting line of .303/.372/.450. That’s 39% higher than league common offense, per wRC+. His .349 batting common on balls in play is unquestionably on the excessive facet however he’s solely hanging out at a 16.3% fee and that might be sturdy offense even with a little bit of regression.
That’s very true as a result of Robles is able to offering worth even when he doesn’t have the bat in his fingers. He has stolen 12 bases in 12 tries since coming to Seattle and supplied competent glovework within the outfield, taking part in all three positions on the grass. FanGraphs calculates that he has been value 1.2 wins above alternative already in his temporary stint with the Mariners.
That has been particularly worthwhile for a membership that has struggled to generate offense this 12 months. They’ve arguably one of the best pitching employees within the league, with their team-wide 3.42 tops within the majors, however the lack of punch on the plate has saved them preventing for his or her lives. They’re 63-56, successfully even with the Astros within the division however 2.5 video games again of a Wild Card spot.
Robles was an impending free agent however the Mariners have seen sufficient that they’re prepared to maintain him round for one more two and perhaps three years. After all, they’re not simply making this determination primarily based on the 42 video games he has performed since altering uniforms. Throughout his time with the Nats, he was as soon as thought-about among the finest prospects within the sport. He was on Baseball America’s high 100 checklist in 4 straight seasons from 2016 to 2019, getting as excessive as fifth general in 2018.
He appeared to be delivering on that prospect hype in 2019, serving to the Nats win the World Sequence that 12 months. His .255/.326/.419 batting line was a bit beneath par, translating to a 92 wRC+, however he was capable of produce 3.7 fWAR because of his protection and pace. He stole 28 bases on the 12 months, racking up 25 Defensive Runs Saved and 21 Outs Above Common. Provided that he was solely 22 years outdated on the time, it appeared honest to count on that he was solely scratching the floor of the participant he was about to develop into.
Sadly, the other occurred, as his efficiency dropped considerably for the following few years. For the 2020-22 seasons, he hit simply .216/.291/.306 for a wRC+ of 66. He did spend a while on the injured checklist however that was a big pattern dimension of 965 plate appearances.
Regardless of these struggles, the Nats caught by him, regularly tendering him contracts as he reached arbitration. He appeared to be getting issues again on monitor final 12 months, as he hit .299/.385/.364 for a wRC+ of 112, however he was restricted to simply 36 on the season again spasms within the lumbar backbone. Nonetheless, the Nats agreed to the aforementioned $2.65MM wage for 2024, hoping that Robles might each keep wholesome and put his previous struggles behind him. However this 12 months received out to a shaky begin, as Robles missed a couple of month because of a left hamstring pressure and hit simply .120/.281/.120 in 14 video games for Washington earlier than they determined to chop him unfastened.
The Mariners have been rewarded with the model of Robles that the Nats thought they’d many instances prior to now. The mixture of his previous prospect pedigree and his current efficiency clearly has given the M’s some hope that Robles can maintain producing for a number of extra years. There may be clearly some danger there primarily based on how poorly he has carried out at instances prior to now, however they’re additionally not sticking their neck out with huge sums of cash.
The assure works out to lower than $5MM per 12 months, which pretty modest in baseball phrases. Even when Robles takes a step again on the plate and is merely a speed-and-defense fourth outfielder, that’s not a drastic waste of assets. And if he can proceed to maintain hitting, then there’s loads of upside for the M’s.
For Robles, he’s maybe leaving a bit of cash on the desk right here, but it surely’s additionally comprehensible that he would need to lock in some important earnings. If he had continued to carry out at this degree for the remainder of the season, he probably would have earned a bigger assure than the one he’s agreeing to now. However as he absolutely is aware of from the winding path of his profession, it’s not a assure that it’s going to proceed to go so nicely. In spite of everything, it was simply two months in the past that each one the golf equipment within the league handed on the prospect to accumulate him whereas he’s making a reasonably modest wage. If Robles had suffered one other harm or just struggled on the plate down the stretch, he might not have been capable of safe a assure of even this dimension.
He additionally nonetheless has future incomes energy that he might faucet into if he retains performing. Attributable to debuting at such a younger age, he’s nonetheless simply 27 years outdated. This deal will cowl his age-28 and -29 seasons with the choice giving the M’s an opportunity to regulate him by means of his age-30 season. If he’s capable of sustain his all-around efficiency by means of the course of this contract, he might line himself up for a extra sizable deal at that time. If the choice is triggered and he hits these escalators, he could have already banked $20.75MM off this deal.
The Mariners additionally get a headstart on bolstering their future outfield. They have already got Julio Rodríguez locked in for a few years and the recently-acquired Randy Arozarena is controllable through arbitration by means of 2026. Mitch Haniger has another 12 months on his deal after this and the membership additionally has pre-arb guys like Luke Raley and Dominic Canzone within the combine, although Raley has been getting a whole lot of taking part in time at first base recently. Justin Turner figures to be within the designated hitter spot rather a lot for the remainder of this 12 months however is an impending free agent.
It’s arguably a crowded combine however president of baseball operations Jerry Dipoto is likely one of the recreation’s most energetic determination makers and will deal from this group within the offseason if the chance presents itself. For now, he’s locked in a participant who is probably breaking out, however with out breaking the financial institution. Robles, in the meantime, has secured himself a very nice bit of economic safety that didn’t appear potential just some brief weeks in the past.
Yancen Pujols first reported that the 2 sides had agreed to an extension with a $9.75MM assure (Spanish-language hyperlink on X). Jorge Castillo of ESPN had the two-year size, membership choice and $2MM in bonuses/escalators (X hyperlink). Daniel Kramer of MLB.com supplied the specifics of the bonuses/escalators in addition to the signing bonus (X hyperlink).
