After 17 seasons as an expert baseball participant – very practically half his life – Kyle Higashioka has signed his first main league free agent contract. And the timing couldn’t have been higher. Higashioka entered a skinny catching market coming off the best offensive season of his profession, and he cashed in to the tune of a barely back-loaded two-year, $12.5 million take care of the Rangers. The deal additionally has a $7 million mutual possibility for 2027 with a $1 million buyout, which suggests Higashioka is assured to make $13.5 million.
One very disappointing yr faraway from a World Sequence championship, the Rangers are hoping that the 34-year-old’s consistency may also help them bounce again into rivalry. Higashioka has now strung collectively three consecutive seasons wherein he’s performed at the least 83 video games and put up at the least 1.3 WAR. Texas would like to see him make it 4.
Don’t let Higashioka’s total consistency idiot you, although. He truly appeared fairly totally different in 2024. For starters, he ran an 80 wRC+ from 2021 to 2023, then jumped to 105 in 2024. Earlier than final season, all of his worth got here from his glove, however his huge offensive yr was barely difficult too. Higashioka has at all times been capable of hit the ball laborious, however in 2024, he put up the perfect energy numbers of his profession. He hit a career-high 17 homers, and his .256 ISO was by a really extensive margin the best mark he’d put up since he began getting critical enjoying time in 2021. On the identical time, his .301 xwOBA was truly his worst mark since 2019, and it fell principally due to tumbling exit velocities. That’s puzzling on the floor: Higashioka hit the ball softer than ever, however put up the perfect energy numbers of his profession. Nevertheless, greater than batted ball luck was behind his potential to outperform his anticipated stats.
In 2024, Higashioka optimized his contact by going full-on Isaac Paredes: 29.3% of his balls in play had been fly balls or line drives to the pull aspect. Among the many 343 gamers who put at the least 150 balls in play, that was the second-highest mark in baseball. (He trailed Jake Bauers by 0.04 proportion factors, whereas Paredes was all the way in which down at fifth.) Higashioka has at all times hit these pulled air balls at a excessive fee – from 2020 to 2023, he was at 21.8%, which put him within the 91st percentile. Nonetheless, including one other 8.5 proportion factors to that whole is an excessive leap. He has stated that as early as 2015, he was trying to mannequin his swing after Josh Donaldson’s, and in 2024 he reached the final word expression of the shape. Higashioka’s hard-hit fee fell from 48.3% in 2023 all the way in which to 37.4% in 2024. That’s an unlimited drop-off, however as a result of he hit so many balls within the air, his barrel fee stayed practically similar, and since he pulled so lots of them, his dwelling run fee on fly balls jumped from 14.3% to 18.9%.
So what ought to we anticipate from Higashioka in 2025? His hard-hit fee appears primed to bounce again a bit. His contact fee exterior the strike zone was a lot larger than standard, and O-Contact tends to be fluky and might depress a participant’s energy numbers. However, Higashioka’s max and Ninetieth-percentile exit velocities dropped off considerably in 2024. As we’re speaking a few 34-year-old catcher, it could be truthful to imagine that his top-end energy has peaked.
Higashioka’s protection has additionally taken a step again recently. Each framing metric indicated that this was the worst season of his profession, leaving him only a bit above common. Statcast rated him beneath common when it comes to blocking and controlling the working recreation, however Baseball Prospectus nonetheless gave him strong marks in each classes. In all, Higashioka is wanting like he ought to present league-average protection behind the plate, with the opportunity of a bounce again in his framing. Nevertheless he does it, if he can handle to maintain hitting at or above the league common, then that makes him a lovely backup piece, particularly when you think about the wants of his new crew.
To say that Rangers catchers struggled mightily final season can be a Texas-sized understatement. Their 0.1 WAR ranked twenty sixth in baseball, and their 67 wRC+ ranked twenty seventh. Andrew Knizner, who began the season backing up Jonah Heim, in some way put up -0.6 WAR over simply 91 plate appearances, which sounds prefer it needs to be unimaginable till you see that he ran a wRC+ of 9. Any time your wRC+ is sufficiently small that I must seek the advice of our model information to verify I’m not supposed to jot down it out, you’re in bother. (Editor’s be aware: We at all times use numerals for wRC+, however we often spell out single-digit numbers for counting stats, similar to dwelling runs.) The Rangers traded for Carson Kelly on the deadline, however Kelly promptly changed into a pumpkin, his wRC+ dropping from 108 with the Tigers to 81 wRC+ with Texas.
The larger concern is incumbent starter Heim, who has now performed in at the least 128 video games in every of the final three seasons. Over that span, he ranks third in video games caught and fourth in innings caught. He may use a break, and Higashioka is far more certified than Knizner to offer him a spell. The switch-hitting Heim had a breakout season in 2022, pairing league-average offense with glorious framing to place up 2.7 WAR. In 2023, he planted his flag as top-of-the-line catchers within the recreation, solely to see it torn down straight away.
By means of July 26, 2023, Heim mixed a 122 wRC+ with elite protection, and his 3.5 WAR ranked second amongst all catchers. That day, he tore a tendon sheath in his wrist throughout a swing. He returned lower than three weeks later, however he wasn’t the identical participant. His potential to hit left-handed, the ultimate puzzle piece that had vaulted him into the higher echelon, vanished: He ran a wRC+ of 46 from the left aspect from that time on. In 2024, 106 gamers made at the least 300 PAs batting left-handed in opposition to right-handed pitchers, and Heim’s 64 wRC+ ranked lifeless final amongst them. His framing worth additionally tumbled. He ended the season with a 70 wRC+ and -0.1 WAR. If Heim can’t determine issues out, Higashioka may conceivably be requested to tackle a bigger position. Even when Heim does return to kind, the Rangers needs to be excited to have a catcher who can deal with a heavier load. Heim’s punishing workload is prone to grind him into mud ultimately, if it hasn’t began doing so already.
For Higashioka, signing a free agent deal is, in some methods, the excessive level of a outstanding profession. The Yankees drafted him within the seventh spherical of the draft in 2008, after which he spent 9 years of their farm system. He reached minor league free company in 2015, signing a minor league deal to return to the Yankees, and made his huge league debut in 2017. Even then, Higashioka didn’t play greater than 30 video games in New York till 2021. Following the 2023 season, after 16 years within the group, the Yankees included the 33-year-old Higashioka of their commerce with the Padres for Juan Soto. Persisting thus far actually is an achievement.
As for what this implies for the free agent market as a complete, strong catchers are getting much more scarce. Our High 50 Free Brokers checklist featured only one catcher: Danny Jansen, who was all the way in which down at 43. He wasn’t even the highest-ranked Jansen obtainable. With Higashioka off the board, the remaining obtainable catchers include former-Ranger Kelly, Yasmani Grandal, and a passel of gamers who accrued someplace between 0.6 and -1.2 WAR through the 2024 season. If you happen to’re a contender who needs a catcher, act now.
