Know thy enemy: New York Knicks

That is the primary in a collection of articles previewing the Celtics’ likeliest challengers to the throne.

The best type of flattery is watching opponents tailor their rosters particularly to beat you.

From the Harden Rockets attempting to math the Warriors dynasty into submission within the late 2010s to the Minnesota Timberwolves realizing that measurement was the pickaxe wanted to mine the Nuggets, groups have turn into extra aggressive about setting up a roster designed particularly to beat the highest canine of their convention.

No one has been extra blatant about forming a Celtics Killer than the New York Knicks.

Final season’s Knicks have been an excellent staff in the end undone by accidents. Their new roster, bolstered by the summer season’s commerce for Mikal Bridges, was remade to battle Boston.

Let’s begin with the doubtless depth chart.

PG: Jalen Brunson, Miles McBride, Cam Payne

SG: OG Anunoby, Josh Hart

SF: Mikal Bridges, Donte DiVincenzo

PF: Julius Randle, Keita Bates-Diop

C: Mitchell Robinson, Valuable Achiuwa, Jericho Sims

Though the Celtics received final common season’s collection 4-1 final season, they hardly ever noticed the Knicks at full power. New York’s one win was the one recreation Anunoby participated in, and this yr’s staff will likely be higher geared up to battle Boston.

The Knicks have a ton of wing depth, an apparent response to the Celtics assault, however is it doable to have an excessive amount of of an excellent factor? Nearly as good as Mikal Bridges is, I’m unsure he’s as comfortable a match for the Knicks offensively as Donte DiVincenzo, who had a case because the second-best three-pointer shooter within the league final season. You don’t commerce the farm for a participant like Bridges with out taking part in him monster minutes (and his iron-man standing will instantly endear him to teach Tom Thibodeau), however watching how the Knicks match DiVincenzo (their greatest shooter by a Brooklyn Bridge size) into the rotation will likely be fascinating.

Brunson was an All-NBA participant final yr, and he was capable of finding success at occasions towards the Celtics’ vaunted defensive backcourt, dropping 34 and 39 factors within the final two conferences on environment friendly capturing.

Randle, the Knicks’ second-best participant (by box-score manufacturing, no less than), has sometimes struggled towards the Celtics. There’s a way that his bruising energy recreation might reap the benefits of a slimmer Boston frontline, however that hasn’t translated to actuality but.

Their largest gap is on the largest place. The Knicks’ Mitchell Robinson is an honest heart, however he’s continuously injured. Dropping Isaiah Hartenstein to the OKC Thunder leaves a Kool-Assist-man-sized hole on the roster, as Valuable Achiuwa and Jericho Sims will likely be overtaxed as the first backups. The Knicks nonetheless have some commerce ammo left to fortify their entrance court docket, so I’d count on them so as to add a high-quality backup earlier than the commerce deadline.

Picture by Stephen Gosling/NBAE through Getty Photographs

Strengths

The Knicks, as a complete, have two important strengths going for them towards the Celtics. One, no staff within the league will higher be capable to match up with the Jays (though which may be extra sophisticated than folks assume, because it means placing both Julius Randle or NY’s heart on one in all Boston’s guards — a transfer Boston noticed loads of final yr and is aware of the way to exploit). Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown can’t be fully stopped, however Anunoby and Bridges have the very best probability within the league of slowing them. It’ll be as much as Jrue Vacation or Derrick White to reap the benefits of what needs to be a susceptible matchup.

Right here’s one thing bizarre: regardless of their 1-4 document, the Knicks really had the third-best offensive ranking towards the Celtics! No, I wouldn’t have guessed that both, nevertheless it wasn’t as a result of they shot exceptionally effectively. As an alternative, the Knicks put their full weight into their best power: offensive rebounding.

The Knicks have been the very best offensive rebounding staff within the league, however they amped up their boarding to a preposterous quantity towards Boston. They mopped up 38.0% of their misses, practically six proportion factors greater than their league-best 32.2% regular-season price. It’s onerous to overstate how absurd that quantity is.

Randle, Robinson, and Hart make sure that no less than two elite window-wipers are on the ground always. Boston was a wonderfully respectable defensive rebounding staff final yr, however that is the one statistical edge New York ought to cleanly have over the Celtics, even when they take a small step again with out Hartenstein. Though Boston’s protection ought to maintain up effectively towards New York’s first-shot offense, the Celtics should emphasize defending the glass.

Picture by David Dow/NBAE through Getty Photographs

Weaknesses

Regardless of what I mentioned above, New York should still have issues scoring towards Boston. Randle, particularly, must work out the way to get buckets extra effectively — he shot simply 34% towards Boston in his three matches final yr. He’s additionally struggled in his playoff minutes, usually. Bridges’ presence provides a desperately wanted tertiary playmaking aspect to New York, nevertheless it stays to be seen how a lot incremental profit that has for an offense constructed round bully ball and Jalen Brunson’s pitter-patters into the paint.

Between Bridges, Anunoby, DiVincenzo, and Brunson, the Knicks have surprisingly dependable capturing. However praying for long-range fireworks is never a sustainable technique over a seven-game collection (let’s neglect about that Miami-Boston collection a couple of years in the past, we could?).

And with the Knicks, well being is all the time a priority. Heart depth, particularly, is a large drawback proper now. If Randle or Brunson is even barely hobbled, there merely isn’t sufficient creation on this staff to beat a protection as well-rounded as Boston’s.

Last ideas

The scariest model of the Knicks may place Anunoby or Randle at heart, one thing they toyed with an eensy-teensy bit final season. Tom Thibodeau’s willingness to get bizarre may decide their probabilities.

The Knicks’ revamped protection might hassle Boston (as a lot as anybody can, anyway). Nonetheless, regardless of their rebounding prowess, New York ought to have even better issues scoring constantly towards the Celtics. On the finish of the day, I’d count on them to fall brief (though Boston might escape battered and bruised).

In some methods, I stay up for a Boston-New York collection greater than the rest. Brown and Tatum must elevate their video games to beat the Anunoby/Bridges duo. Nothing creates basketball artwork fairly like high-level offense overcoming snarling protection, and I’d love to look at the Jays swish their paintbrushes round.

Wanting forward, the Knicks needs to be round on this iteration for a number of years. Though I firmly have Boston in entrance of New York for this season, the Knicks could also be a much bigger risk within the following years, when Boston will doubtless should shed some wage. However that’s an issue for future Celtics; for now, Boston should keep their self-discipline on the glass to show me proper.