Properly, the Angels aren’t ready round, are they? Within the week instantly following the World Sequence, the Halos have accomplished the one commerce to this point this offseason involving gamers getting in every route. They’ve additionally acquired Scott Kingery from the Phillies for money concerns and executed a waiver declare on Oakland’s Ryan Noda, each low-risk acquisitions with the potential to fill a distinct segment on the huge league stage.
The Triple-A primary base depth chart for the Angels proper now lists Noda alongside Niko Kavadas and Sonny DiChiara, which is a bumper crop of cube-shaped school sluggers if ever there have been one. Somebody discover out what Tim Elko is as much as and provides him a name so the Angels can have the complete set. However I digress.
Amidst all that different exercise, Perry Minasian and Co. have made this offseason’s most notable free agent signing to this point: right-handed pitcher Kyle Hendricks, late of the Chicago Cubs. Hendricks was the second main league free agent to signal to this point this offseason, after Dylan Covey’s one-year cope with the Mets, and he’s an even bigger title by far. A two-time Cy Younger vote-getter and a cornerstone of the profitable Cubs groups of the late 2010s, Hendricks joins the Angels on a one-year, $2.5 million deal.
ESPN’s Jesse Rogers, who reported the worth of Hendricks’ contract on Wednesday afternoon, famous that the Angels had been within the 34-year-old right-hander partially as a result of he may mentor a younger pitching employees. I believe baseball individuals are typically fast to guage persona primarily based on stereotype. Hendricks went to Dartmouth and hasn’t damaged 91 mph in a aggressive sport in eight years — which feels like hyperbole however is actually true — so he should be good. And if he’s good, he should be a coach on the sector or one thing prefer it.
If that’s the motivation for signing Hendricks, it’s a fairly amusing idea, contemplating the Angels aren’t precisely placing out a Era Ok-type hype prepare for his or her younger arms. Nonetheless, the soft-tossin’-est righty starter of his era makes for an amusing distinction with Ben Joyce. And the cabinet isn’t utterly naked. Reid Detmers was horrendous final season, however his underlying numbers had been merely unhealthy and he had two good seasons earlier than that. And I appreciated what I noticed out of Jack Kochanowicz the couple instances I noticed him pitch in 2024. (Although I understand now a minimum of a kind of begins was in opposition to the White Sox, so take that for what it’s value.)
With all that stated, Hendricks does truly look like a wise man, and contemplate this: Since that final 91-mph pitch in Recreation 6 of the 2016 NLCS, Hendricks has thrown 1,130 main league innings with an ERA- of 96 and gathered 16.4 WAR. So he should have some methods up his sleeve.
And whereas $2.5 million is likely to be lots to pay for a pitching coach, it’s a pittance for a pitcher with even a distant probability of throwing 100 or more practical huge league innings. For distinction, it’s lower than a 3rd of what the Angels are going to pay Evan White to benefit from the scenic fantastic thing about Salt Lake Metropolis this summer time. However hey, the Angels are a big-market group. Even of their post-Shohei Ohtani lean years, the Halos ran a $170 million payroll final season, which was thirteenth within the majors. It is a rounding error.
Hendricks had spent his total 11-season main league profession with the Cubs, who acquired him in a commerce with the Rangers in 2012. (Ryan Dempster went the opposite manner.) After a interval of decline for each participant and group, it appeared like the 2 had been certain to half methods ultimately, and it is sensible that he’d wish to go to the Angels. Hendricks grew up in Orange County, and was even drafted by the Angels out of highschool in 2008. He’s one in every of 4 future huge leaguers who had been drafted within the thirty ninth spherical in 2008 however didn’t signal that yr. The others: Mikie Mahtook, Brad Miller, and Yan Gomes. If “traded for Ryan Dempster” doesn’t offer you a way of Hendricks’ age, maybe a Mikie Mahtook reference will put you in the precise state of mind.
Now, I’ve been burying the lede a little bit right here. These of you who didn’t comply with the Cubs final season is likely to be curious how Hendricks obtained on, and are questioning why I haven’t introduced up his stats from 2024 but. Properly, they’re not superior.
This previous season, 126 pitchers threw a minimum of 100 innings within the majors. Hendricks ranked 124th in ERA, two spots behind Patrick Corbin, who’s mainly a punchline at this level in his profession. Now, Hendricks’ peripherals counsel he was a little bit arduous achieved by, however a 5.92 ERA offers lots of room for a pitcher to be unfortunate and unhealthy on the identical time. Certainly, Hendricks was 107th in xERA (4.80) and 121st in FIP (4.98). He was second from the underside in strikeout fee, at 15.3%, and his stroll fee was merely common and never distinctive, which left him a hundred and twentieth in Ok-BB%.
Breaking it down pitch by pitch, issues don’t get a lot rosier. Hendricks obtained first rate outcomes on his curveball in 2024, however that’s not his make-or-break pitch. The important thing for Hendricks is his changeup — it has been his total profession.
Hendricks’ repertoire has developed since he was a rookie, which is to be anticipated for a pitcher who’s lasted so long as he has. However the core of it has at all times been the sinker and the changeup. Hendricks has at all times thrown an extra fastball — initially a cutter, extra not too long ago a four-seamer — and had a minimum of the credible menace of a curveball. However in each season of Hendricks’ profession, his sinker and changeup have mixed to make up between 61% and 81% of his complete pitches thrown.
That combo has labored very nicely as not too long ago as 2023, when Hendricks allowed a 3.74 ERA in 24 begins for the Cubs. That’s not fairly pretty much as good as he was in 2016, but when Hendricks had hit free company 12 months earlier, he’d be in line to make 4 or 5 instances as a lot as he’s making now. Probably extra.
What’s the distinction between 2023 and 2024? Properly, in 2023, Hendricks’ sinker was satisfactory and his changeup was a legit out pitch. A yr later, each of these pitches obtained completely torched:
Kyle Hendricks’ Two Finest Pitches Have Deserted Him
| Changeup | Pitch% | AVG | SLG | wOBA | Whiff% | HardHit% | RV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 41.1 | .180 | .279 | .233 | 32.4 | 17.8 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 38.7 | .267 | .409 | .316 | 23.9 | 22.4 | -1.1 |
| 2023 | 34.9 | .318 | .460 | .352 | 8.0 | 39.5 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 35.5 | .333 | .493 | .379 | 10.3 | 42.2 | -1.7 |
SOURCE: Baseball Savant
One in all two issues goes to occur to Hendricks within the season to return. He may determine one thing out and get his 2023 kind again; it’s not like he’s dropping the speed or stuff that when made him nice. He tinkered along with his fastball combine to lefties in 2024, throwing them extra sinkers than four-seamers for the primary time since he began throwing a four-seamer usually. And what occurred? Left-handed hitters hit a good .400 — once more, not a joke — in opposition to his sinker. Contemplating the same motion profiles of the 2 pitches, and the mere six mile-an-hour distinction between them, that will appear to be an apparent start line on the subject of triaging Hendricks’ issues.
But it surely’s additionally doable that Hendricks put up an ERA close to 6.00 final season as a result of he simply doesn’t have it anymore. There are definitely worse locations to search out that out than in Southern California, 30 miles from residence. And if that is the top, he’s already obtained irons within the hearth on his subsequent job. Not less than any person thinks he’d be coach.
