12:13 |
: Good morning from Tempe. COVID wrecked your boy’s thanksgiving however I’m good to go to winter conferences. My cat got here house with dilated pupils final night time and the opposite one couldn’t cease smelling him. I’ve no different life updates.
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12:14 |
: Fast scouting report on Cobb Hightower? Do you suppose he’s a high 5 Padres prospect?
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12:16 |
: Hightower was an $850k or so HS signee from North Carolina. Good hitting arms, can actually time and swuare a fasball, on time sufficient to tug, athletic construct, didn’t get a radical take a look at him taking part in protection as a result of he wasn’t on the showcase circuit a lot and I didn’t see SD instructs….
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12:16 |
: Prime 5? Perhaps. I’d positively take Salas, De Vries, Mayfield, Cruz forward of him however I can’t consider anybody off the very high of my head. Pena is nice, I’d most likely take him, too.
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12:17 |
: Assuming he comes again wanting the identical post-surgery, what are the chances Farmelo vaults up the Prime 100 into elite territory?
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12:18 |
Alfredo Duno the place the instruments are so nutty bu there’s threat for no matter motive that the “hit it large” fee is like 25%. For each Elly or Oneil or Walcott I really feel like there are three Bleises.
: Uhh I’d guess of any of the blokes like him and |
12:18 |
Gino Groover notably onerous to mission on because of his wrist harm? And, talking of which, how do you mission his trajectory — a full upcoming season at AA or do you suppose there’s sufficient bat there that he may advance extra shortly?
: Is a participant like |
12:20 |
: You simply kinda toss out his exit velos or use 2023 as a method to give your self higher context for his ’24. I feel it’s tremendous to take a Bayesian strategy with guys like that and lean closely in your priors. I feel how shortly Gino climbs will likely be dictated extra by their wants than his play. In the event that they don’t re-sign Walker then Del Castillo and Groover could be on the quick monitor. Extra doubtless 2026 for Gino after the departure of Geno, really feel me?
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12:20 |
: simply curious when you’ll add the J15 prospects to the worldwide board and what you’re listening to about Bluejays signings both on this upcoming class and future ones, thanks for the chat as all the time!
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12:21 |
: Beginning work on turning my notes into Board rows this weekend, needs to be totally baked by the holliday
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12:22 |
: I truly had Toronto’s pool as being overcommitted, undecided if that’s nonetheless true.
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12:24 |
: I’m undecided both of these guys is standing in Endy’s manner if he’s truly hitting. He has expertise at different positions and all three could possibly be rostered. As long as he’s simply getting common at-bats after lacking a lot time, that’s tremendous to start out.
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12:25 |
: Hey Eric, was questioning your ideas on the present Marlins farm system.
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12:27 |
: I favored their strategy on the deadline the place they had been getting tons of items again in every deal, however I really feel like I used to be decrease on a bunch of the blokes they bought. I don’t notably like Norby, for example. I’m usually somewhat decrease on everybody they bought again from SD for Arraez. I feel the route their novice division is headed in is an effective one, based mostly on their ’24 class.
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12:27 |
: Now that the autumn league is over, what’s your schedule wanting like when it comes to baseball consumption?
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12:27 |
: I devoured Premier12, now am watching the occasional LIDOM recreation. Principally my consumption is tape examine. I’m watching extra NBA and fewer NHL this 12 months than final as a result of Ja is again and the Coyotes left.
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12:28 |
Cole Younger or Colt Emerson may contribute to the Mariners in 2025? Which might you maintain on to if one had been wanted to push a commerce via?
: Is it cheap to suppose that |
12:29 |
: Younger is in higher place to assist in ’25. Neither could be untouchable in the appropriate deal. Need Luis Robert to be baseball Randy Moss for you? Commerce whomever.
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12:29 |
Grant Taylor within the AFL? If that’s the case, what are your ideas on what you noticed?
: Did you get an opportunity to see |
12:30 |
: does mo baller make opening day in Chicago and if not, when. what are long run prospects for a giant stick being swung by a good greater individual?
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12:32 |
: I’m cooling on him. He’s husky however not large, he’s like 5-9. Was turned off by how little pullside contact he made in opposition to AFL guys sitting 91. He’s gotta be a greater ball blocker to really catch, and catching is the one manner he’s going to be a 50 sort participant.
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12:33 |
: Christlike ceiling. 2027 ETA, most likely extra like 2029 earlier than we see him hitting 30+ bombs
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12:33 |
: He’ll be 23 then
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12:34 |
Griffin Conine after his fairly stable stretch to finish the season in MLB?
: Ideas on |
12:34 |
: Typically guys with *this a lot* energy have a related however slim peak.
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12:36 |
: With the contraction of the minors and fewer high quality within the excessive minors, will we see youthful guys take an opportunity in Korea or Japan get higher high quality reps?
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12:38 |
: I feel that is underrating how robust NPB is. I fear that extra Latin American gamers will determine to signal with NPB and develop of their minors, there was a minute when this was taking place however much less so of late. For those who’re polished sufficient it presents an attention-grabbing path to eventual free company, however the way in which draft bonuses are priced creates sufficient incentive for guys to remain.
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12:38 |
: Of the hard-throwers within the 35+ FV part of the Arizona listing, who do you suppose has the very best shot at growing right into a legit setup/high-leverage pitcher?
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12:40 |
: Rattling, it could be simply be Ciprian. Knowlton is freaky and there are good causes he’s nonetheless so uncooked, so he’s most likely bought the very best likelihood to do it any time quickly.
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12:40 |
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12:44 |
: Crisantes I don’t see the place the projection is coming from. I do know he’s younger however he’s maxed out, and in case you watch him swing sufficient I don’t suppose he’s actually a real expertise 90% zone contact man or no matter he was….
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12:46 |
: Angelo he’s sitting 94-95 and that’s barely above common velo, the spin axis on the fastball (1:30) is in that space hat appears to be very hittable. Like him to supply low leverage size. If the arrow retains pointing up then perhaps I’m gentle.
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12:46 |
: Assuming Sasaki winds up going to both the Padres or Dodgers, which high IFAs are these groups linked to and what do you suppose occurs to these youngsters?
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12:48 |
: There’s no motive to take a position about this till it occurs, it’s good for no person concerned. If he had been going to be a Dodger then, in my view, the posting would have occurred on this aspect of the cutoff date once they have among the many most cash.
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12:48 |
Eriq Swan was the most effective pitchers within the AFL, which doesn’t actually imply something, however did something significant change along with his profile based mostly on these showings? Bettering command and simply pitching appear to be his largest developmental wants, proper?
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12:50 |
: Yeah, simply pitching and dealing with hitters that good was a step up for him. Had him 97-98, cutter 87-89, sweeper 82-84, changeup 90. Freaky small ahead sort physique, supply is extra pure wanting than in school. Love him.
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12:54 |
: Actually like him, idk if I used to be the excessive man on him when their listing ran or not however I keep in mind being fairly aggressive rating him contemplating he was DSL on the time. Little man, like 5-10, large time arm sitting 95 with 20 inches IVB, potential plus slider however actually inconsistent end proper now. Changeup is okay, like to mission on it due to the athlete/arm motion piece. Nonetheless somewhat man in A-ball not gonna be a high 100 man for me this offseason or something loopy like that, been burned too many instances by these A ball arms, particularly the wee ones
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12:54 |
: When can we count on the Marlins high prospects listing to drop?
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12:55 |
: I’m gonna do CHC, SFG, COL subsequent after which transfer to the orgs based mostly in Florida, although whether or not I begin in with the Gulf Coast groups or the East Coast groups is tbd.
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12:55 |
: I’m scared he gained’t hit.
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12:55 |
: Nonetheless.
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12:55 |
: Do you suppose the Cubs plan on having Shaw and both Caissie/Alcantara on the OD roster?
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12:56 |
: Perhaps Alcantara due to his possibility 12 months state of affairs, most likely not the others. Shaw may kick the door down, I suppose.
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12:56 |
Kumar Rocker as a beginning pitcher after final season?
: How assured are you in |
12:57 |
: Smedium. He’s been damage too typically for ten wholesome begins to make an affordable individual assured.
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12:59 |
: Actually, I ought to go watch his tape to see, idk proper now. As soon as he fell down the defensive spectrum within the Cubs system it was kinda over for him as something greater than depth/org sort however perhaps one thing has modified.
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12:59 |
: what had been your P12 takeaways?
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1:00 |
Do Yeong Kim‘s and Hiroto Takahashi’s grades, Shosei Togo was kinda meh within the finals, Chieh-Hsien Chen must get added
: Gotta juice |
1:01 |
: Crew USA must discover a method to get higher pitching on their roster
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1:01 |
: With one workforce prone to blow their total 2025 pool on Roki, it’s been reported that it will trigger chaos when the signing interval opens. What are the most important results you anticipate? What sort of gamers are almost certainly to be impacted most? Will a bunch of minimal ($10K) signings simply not occur, or will they find yourself signing for underneath that (since they wouldn’t depend in opposition to the pool restrict)?
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1:03 |
: It relies on who he indicators with. Some groups give most of their pool to a few guys, some unfold i out.
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1:03 |
Carson Williams making an affect with the Rays in 2025?
: Do you see |
1:03 |
: In all probability not. They’re deep in entrance of him and he can’t hit breaking stuff.
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1:04 |
: Would you commerce Shaw/Ballesteros/Triantos for Crochet? (which is the rumored asking worth)
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1:04 |
: How does an arm bar look, why is it detrimental, and what’s the correction?
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1:04 |
: Prospect showdown: Who do you bought between A&M and former A&M OFers Jace Laviolette and Braden Montgomery?
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1:05 |
: Monty, I’m gonna be decrease than consensus on Jace, lotta swing and miss from each guys however one is simply freakier than the opposite.
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1:05 |
Xavier Isaac’s improve in Ok%? Was there one thing that occurred that hampered him this season or was there degradation in expertise?
: What ought to I take into consideration |
1:07 |
: It’s kinda scary and lengthy to the up/in portion of the zone, suppose he may lower his stride and shorten up whereas nonetheless producing big energy.
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1:08 |
: Does the gamers union care that Sasaki will get manner lower than he ought to? It looks as if the present pool cap or a global draft with bonus caps decrease participant pay by an enormous amount- what would the gamers have to surrender to return to the previous system?
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1:09 |
: A not so great point that I feel has been true in regards to the PA for many of my life is that they don’t actually care about guys who aren’t within the membership but.
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1:09 |
: Therefore the tendencies in Int’l and draft bonuses
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1:10 |
: For those who had been handed the keys to an amatuer draft, which workforce’s construction/mannequin/draft historical past would your draft most align with?
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1:11 |
: BOS, ATL, MIL
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1:11 |
: Does pitch repertoire issue into evaluating pitchers? Like do some groups worth particular pitches/mixes kind of? Or is the pondering extra so long as its efficient throw no matter.
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1:12 |
: Yeah, particularly on the subject of fastball form and aircraft.
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1:12 |
Josue De Paula, Zyhir Hope, and Kendall George are all L/L A ball OF for the Dodgers, all have totally different ability units. Who’re you highest on in comparison with business opinion?
: Hello Eric! |
1:12 |
: De Paula, not shut.
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1:12 |
: Any likelihood you’d look to return to working for an org quite than keep in a public function?
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1:12 |
: Enlargement Crew X, sounds enjoyable.
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1:13 |
: What precisely does aircraft imply on a fastball? Doesn’t the situation of a given pitch inform aircraft? Are sure kinds of aircraft generically good or unhealthy?
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1:15 |
Mark Appel each find a fastball to the identical location, one in every of them goes to have a shallow aircraft that could be very troublesome for hitters to get on high of and one in every of them isn’t.
: Location does affect the aircraft (strategy angle, vertically and horizontally) of any particular person pitch, sure, but when Tim Lincecum and |
1:15 |
: Typically, common or typical or generic is unhealthy. Guys like Chris Younger or Verlander have steep aircraft but it surely’s so steep that it’s distinctive and turns into good.
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1:16 |
: Obvs command is a big issue for guys to find their fastballs to their handiest location
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1:16 |
Nick Kurtz name up
: Do you suppose the A’s will velocity run a |
1:16 |
: Do you suppose they provide into an intl draft? That appeared to nonetheless be a sticking level for the union…
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1:17 |
: Based mostly on their all of their earlier concessions. They’ll struggle like hell and use it as a negotiating chip however in the end I wager we now have one other overhaul to hat system in some unspecified time in the future, draft or not
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1:19 |
: How far-off is the primary D1 feminine baseball participant, or do you suppose it’ll by no means occur.
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1:21 |
: Softball makes it robust as a result of all the American athletes are taking part in a a lot totally different sport. For some time I believed she’d come from tennis or one thing, now I simply suppose she’ll be Australian the place ladies baseball is changing into a factor.
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1:21 |
: Due to how a lot pitching depth groups want I’d guess that’ll be the place. I used to suppose 2B.
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1:22 |
: Do I’ve to be subscribed to get a query answered?
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1:22 |
: No however I’ve a pair hundred folks in right here and there are quite a lot of questions. You do must be a subscriber to get to sick vacation lights background on the location, although.
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1:24 |
: mira:
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1:24 |
:
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1:25 |
Drake Baldwin.. ought to he be untouchable?
: Almost definitely Braves prospect to be traded this offseason? And ideas on |
1:26 |
: I don’t suppose Drake needs to be untouchable however I feel with d’Arnaud gone it will get more durable to maneuver him. Nacho is kinda blocked, although, huh?
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1:26 |
: You appear very low on Crisantes. Some scouts are saying he can actually hit. You don’t suppose he can develop common energy ?
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1:27 |
: Lol we’re gonna discover out.
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1:29 |
: The lights are superior…thanks!
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1:29 |
: What workforce did you set your colours as, Cleveland?
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1:29 |
: Nacho may not be blocked quickly. Bowman additionally stated just lately that Ozzie could possibly be a commerce possibility. His protection has gotten actually unhealthy and the low obp strategy could age poorly.
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1:29 |
: There ya go
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1:30 |
: Oh look a that I’m manner over my time. I’ve gotta cut up and make a number of telephone calls. See you subsequent week after I’ll be again from Winter Conferences with another new sickness just like the flu or being a Cowboys fan. g’bye
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Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and presently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent 4 years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Data Options and two contributing to prospect protection at ESPN.com. Earlier work will also be discovered at Sports activities On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.