Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 11/8/24

Eric A Longenhagen: Howdy from sunny Tempe, Arizona the place final weekend I went individuals watching up by the faculty to see some Halloween craziness, and as an alternative the woman sitting subsequent to me on the bar had a seizure or a stroke or one thing and I acquired to play paramedic in entrance of like 24 individuals. Typically issues don’t go the way in which you intend.

AN1: How are you feeling on Creed Willems? He has smoked some balls out west. Doesn’t Ok a ton both and is 21 for the primary half of 2025. Something there?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’ll take the underneath. He has energy however chases a ton for a 1B and I’m undecided how lengthy he’s going to be athletically viable. Some model-driven staff would in all probability take him in a deal, although.

Dk: Would you commerce Tong, Williams and Gilbert for Crochet? Would it not be sufficient?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’d be making an attempt to do higher than that (I’d quite have Sproat than both Tong or Gilbert by form of rather a lot, and I’d must pry away at the least one among Baty or Ronny Mo) however I recognize you together with Jett, who I feel is gonna be good.

Scott M.: What do you make of Josue Briceno and Thayron Liranzo’s AFL performances thus far? And what’s the probability both will stick at catcher?

Eric A Longenhagen: Each good, Liranzo approach higher shot to stay again there as a result of he undoubtedly has the arm and construct.

Ralph: If most of NYY sources go to Soto, do you assume Ben Rice and/or Caleb Durbin can deal with vital PA for them subsequent 12 months?

Eric A Longenhagen: I like Durbin as a scrappy utility piece and assume Rice is a fringe 40-man sort, so that may not be best.

Matt: What place does Christian Moore find yourself at? Heard some rumblings that he was enjoying some 3B and outfield in instructs? Undecided if these have been true.

Eric A Longenhagen: All my Instructs seems to be have been with him at 2B

Tacoby Bellsbury: What do you discover most enjoyable in baseball, and the way has that modified throughout your profession?

Eric A Longenhagen: Discovering new gamers. I used to be watching Angels DSL stuff towards the Giants final week and a few of SF’s guys have been actually thrilling. To get completely blindsided like that actually lights me up.

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel your staff’s video games are all gonna be over in like 2:15 with that assortment of chasers you bought there. I do not know how you probably did with out everybody else’s roster however at first look it’s simply an okay group.

Alek: Even with the respectable AFL stats i assume you’re nonetheless out on Robert Hassell as a daily?

Eric A Longenhagen: Appropriate. Assume his arms work nicely sufficient for him to be a component time, decrease affect man. He simply hasn’t gotten a lot stronger.

Jim: Do you assume the Braves must make modifications to their worldwide scouting division? They aren’t hitting on their current latin gamers and it’s actually effecting their system depth.

Eric A Longenhagen: It’s extra about their method than the rest. Whenever you put all of your eggs in a single or two Diego Benitez or Jose Perdomo sort baskets after which that participant instantly struggles, you principally punted a whole class.

Eric A Longenhagen: It’s time for them to unfold it out once more. However they’ve acquired $3 and $4 mil commits at the least two of the subsequent couple years

171: Is Cam Weston a factor? He had a fairly good 12 months however the velo appears lower than fascinating

Eric A Longenhagen: It is a low slot Orioles lefty who carved Double-A this 12 months…

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel he’s a factor in a real-world baseball sense. He’s a misleading low slot man who instructions a great slider. Is he a mid-rotation starter on a playoff staff? No, however I feel he may very well be a great swingman/lengthy reliever and debut in 2025.

Eric: When do the staff lists begin do you intend to vary the order of the way you launch them?

Eric A Longenhagen: Subsequent week. Overseas professionals, Angels, A’s to start out. Cubs/Giants/Rockies/D’Backs (not essentially in that order) after that.

Eric A Longenhagen: Then I’ll in all probability shift to groups based mostly in Florida

Leo Wants a New Pair of Footwear: Any dope on highschool draftees who’ve but to make their official professional debut however whose work on the advanced adjusts your pre-draft analysis up or down?

Eric A Longenhagen: The fellows who get like mid six figures who I didn’t know a ton about previous to the draft (my operating record of these guys: Bo Walker ARI, Eli Lovich CHC, Andrew Tess BAL, Edgar Colon CIN, Jude Warwick DET, Andy Polanco SFG, Troy Guthrie TOR) can undoubtedly transfer the needle however generally I feel two years of how they seemed trumps 2 weeks of how they do, good or dangerous.

Jimmy: Favourite riser from 2024?

Eric A Longenhagen: Go get that man

Chris: Favourite bat prospects that nobody has heard about (outdoors prime 100ish), that you just assume might explode subsequent season?

Jonathan: I really like the depth and breadth of your scouting studies and don’t assume there’s something comparable that’s public-facing. <3  The publication velocity is frustratingly sluggish however it looks as if a crucial by-product of the studies’ top quality + the truth that you don’t have a staff of scouts working with you.  My questions:  in the event you all of a sudden had the identical entry to tons of video (and perhaps biomechanics markers/metrics to assist kind/parse the video) {that a} staff’s video scout had, (1) to what extent would it not assist with velocity, and (2) to what extent do you assume your studies may undergo?

Eric A Longenhagen: Thanks. I feel my nature is such that extra data would sluggish me down as it will give me yet one more factor to think about and attempt to talk within the studies.

Some kinda Mook: No query, simply need to say that I’m very excited in your prospecting this offseason. Please distract us.

Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve blended/responsible emotions about whether or not I’m really doing the proper factor by immersing myself in sports activities as a approach of coping with the chaos quite than making use of myself to one thing substantive, like serving to repair training in Arizona. However rattling do I really like watching Lamar Jackson and sure I’ll spend three hours saying “wow” out loud to the cats on a Thursday evening.

Dougie Jones: Provided that his professional struggles appear to jibe with the specifics of your pre-draft hit instrument considerations, ought to we be faster to spherical down on Charlie Condon than the scale of the pattern would in any other case counsel?

Eric A Longenhagen: I in all probability will.

PB: How a lot do groups really worth the autumn league? Looks like there’s lots of variance and noise related to the outcomes.

Eric A Longenhagen: With the stats there may be, however the look can transfer the needle. Handful of potential Rule 5 guys solidify a spot or not right here, you’re wanting on the Eriq Swans of the world and contemplating the way in which he’s been modified by an org that’s good at this, and so on. Heaps to see, principally none of it anybody’s ISO.

Eric A Longenhagen: Jenkins, not shut.

Eric A Longenhagen: Hope has actual hit instrument threat. He’s acquired energy and velocity however is gonna Ok a ton.

Carl: Jesus Made has lots of hype. I attempt to mood my pleasure because it’s simply the DSL. However I actually ought to be excited, proper? Him and Cooper Pratt makes for a promising future for the Brewers shortstop place.

Eric A Longenhagen: Made seems to be nice on a spreadsheet however I wanna see him earlier than I’m going nuts

Massive Fan: Do you assume Drake Baldwin is the #2 catcher in Atlanta subsequent season?

Eric A Longenhagen: Beginning to, and I feel he’d deal with it advantageous. Lengthy offseason, although.

Benjamin: Ballesteros or Liranzo have a greater shot to stay at C?

Eric A Longenhagen: Liranzo. Each throw nicely and are dangerous at different issues, Ballesteros is constructed like mini John Goodman and may not be capable of transfer nicely sufficient again there.

Leric A Ongenhagen: Leonardo Bernal had an important ’24, is performing nicely within the AFL, and is at AA as a 20 12 months previous catcher. Will he make the highest 100?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’d say beter than 50/50 he does. Lefty-hitting catcher with plus bat velocity. One other man the place his construct is such that IDK what it’ll seems to be like when he’s 26-28, ya know?

Visitor: Has anybody popped in your Angels seems to be this fall?

Eminor3rd: Have you ever had an opportunity to get seems to be/opinions on Shunpeita Yamashita (Orix) or Takahisa Hayakawa (Rakuten) in NPB? The seemed like a possible generational man earlier than taking a step backward final 12 months, and the latter lastly broke out a 12 months or two after being fairly hyped.

Eric A Longenhagen: Yamashita is the true deal for me. Struggled and was demoted early, got here again with a vengeance late. Three plus pitches and a QB construct at age 22? Sure please.

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel he’s pitching “prospect” no. 2 in NPB behind Sasaki

Eric A Longenhagen: I like Hayakawa however there are lots of guys like him over there, smaller-framed with sneaky 89-91mph heaters, breaking stuff that lives off axis/slot, and a great changeup. Extra generic backend sort. Inoue is my favourite man over there who matches this description, assume he’s a particular athlete.

emh1969: How do repeated accidents issue right into a participant’s rating? I’m considering of Chase DeLauter right here.

Eric A Longenhagen: I hear ya, particularly when it’s the identical factor over and over prefer it has been with DeLauter’s toes and ankles I feel it has to.

Prospecter: Do you assume Lazaro Montes‘ season was a internet constructive or damaging?  Outcomes are there however the whiff considerations are actual

Eric A Longenhagen: Constructive however I’ll nonetheless in all probability be the low man on him this offseason. I agree there are points masked by SEA’s hitting environments in A/A+ ball. Identical has been true of lots of guys earlier than him like Clase and Locklear. Crushing in NWL, again to earth after promotion

likelihood: Is Andrew Painter exhibiting sufficient to reclaim his elite prospect standing?

Eric A Longenhagen: sure, launch was much less constant throughout his final outing tho

Philip: If Sugano indicators with a MLB staff, how are you score him in a FYPD?  Do you assume he might have a few top-40 SP years in him?  Thanks!

Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve a forty five on him. 70 command of 40 stuff

Say Extra: Obtained one identify that particularly stood out amongst Giants DSL surprises?

Eric A Longenhagen:

Yovani Gallardo: Hello Eric, thanks once more for doing this chat! I wished to ask when you have ideas on this 12 months’s IFA class (KBO, NPB and so on), particularly on the NPB aspect. Additionally questioning when you have guys you’re maintaining a tally of in NPB that’s not essentially coming over this offseason (like studying about Shunpeita Yamashita was numerous enjoyable at the least for me!).

Eric A Longenhagen: Extra on this subsequent week however yeah. I feel Kazuna Okamoto is  scorching identify to know for this offseason. Loopy pull/raise spray chart, a la Isaac Paredes. I’m skeptical he can really hit however groups who care about airborne pull are gonna be on him.

Eric A Longenhagen: Okamoto and the NPB Cubans (Livan Moinelo, Raidel Martinez) play in Premier12 this weekend and ought to be watched…

Eric A Longenhagen: Taisei Ota is one other identify to know, monster aid stuff

Eric A Longenhagen: Massive bat velocity, 1B solely athlete for me, don’t love how upright his entrance aspect is all through his swing. There are scouts who actually like him, I’ve been apprehensive.

McGraw45: I really feel like I keep in mind early studies that Salas and DeVries seemed good within the fall league. Did that maintain?

Eric A Longenhagen: Salas seems to be exhausted now, De Vries nonetheless hitting

Adam: How have Xaiver Isaac and Tre’ Morgan seemed within the outfield?

Eric A Longenhagen: Morgan has had bother maintaining his footing in my seems to be. Isaac is extra comfy operating however his routes want work

Johnny5Alive: Re: crochet. He’s solely accomplished this as soon as and it’s on his final 12 months of management, how might he probably demand that a lot. Transformed relieveer with no train report and an harm historical past and he wants 3 prime prospects for a deal?

Eric A Longenhagen: Sounds such as you’d simply be out on Crochet

Eric A Longenhagen: Assume he might have a peak in his late-20s, loopy velocity and ought to be a great CF over time, may ultimately discover a method to make sufficient contact to be an on a regular basis man throughout that peak

Jack: Colt Emerson hits the ball actually arduous however doesn’t appear to hit it over the fence. Is he a legit future top-5 prospect in all of baseball and can he stick at SS?

Eric A Longenhagen: That’s just a little wealthy for me. I really like how explosive his arms are however that bat path is just a little too much like Gavin Lux for me to be comfy going all in to that diploma.

Eric A Longenhagen: He’s not a SS for me

Huzzah!: Thanks is all. Love the chats.

Eric A Longenhagen: Gracias, gonna take a number of extra actual quick for 10 min or so

Jace, the Thoughts Sculptor: Ideas on the prolonged rotation window for Normal? Or do you play a special format?

Eric A Longenhagen: I are inclined to draft. The units come out too quick for me to really feel like I’m maintaining with commonplace.

JK: Ideas on Bryce Eldridge? AFL and full season, thanks for all you do!

Eric A Longenhagen: Regarded drained right here earlier than he went house. I’ll have him towards the again of the highest 100. Nonetheless a 1B with Ok threat, 70 energy although.

Andre Thee Large: In terms of gamers prone to graduate to the MLB in 2025 and 2026, would you quite have the Rays or Pink Sox system?

Eric A Longenhagen: Boston

victoria: Will Ballesteros’ bat play as a primary division starter at 1b?

Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, first division is sort of a prime 15 man.

Darren: Thanks for the chat! Have you ever seen Carter Jensen within the AFL?  How does he look and what place do you assume he’ll play?

Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, have seen him a bunch. Assume he’ll catch regardless of a few of his points. Tremendous large, aggressive transfer ahead within the field generates a ton of energy and Ok’s. I like him however assume it’ll take some time for him to tone that down. Extra of a mid-20s breakout man than somebody racing there to assist quick time period

Visitor: Who’s your favourite FA this 12 months that’s outdoors the highest 25-or so?

Eric A Longenhagen: I like Conforto and Carlos Santana so far as guys who didn’t make Ben’s prime 25

Fishfan: Are you shopping for into Jacob Berry’s second half? I do know in early June you stated he hadn’t actually hit in any respect

Eric A Longenhagen: Undoubtedly swung and missed much less however there nonetheless isn’t 1B energy

Leric A Ongenhagen: ebook recs for the offseason? baseball and non-baseball

Eric A Longenhagen: It’s a 50

Eric A Longenhagen: Naomi Klein’s Doppleganger is subsequent for me

Eric A Longenhagen: In the event you like fiction, particularly sci fi, I like Octavia Butler

Andre Thee Large: I don’t perceive Getz saying that the WS are specializing in place participant return in any Crochet commerce. Whenever you want every part, why not simply take the most effective deal?

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel it’s a great rule of thumb to get again an on a regular basis place participant if you commerce a stud

Eric A Longenhagen: Okay ya’ll, I’ve gotta make some snacks for a home warming get together tonight. You must watch Premier12 and Fall Stars this weekend. I’m excited for prospect lists to start out rolling out and sit up for chatting with you on Semifinal Day subsequent week. I swear I really like you.