Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 12/12/24

Dan Szymborski: What time is it? CHAT TIME

Gilbrough@yahoo.com: If the Mariners do get Sasaki does buying and selling Castillo for Triston Casas is smart.  Do you assume they’ll make a 1 for 1 commerce or will they should add somebody like Tyler Locklear to even this out.

Dan Szymborski: If I have been the Mariners, I’d be extraordinarily underwhelmed by Casas because the return for Castillo

Jon G: Is a Paredes + prospects package deal for Tucker actually price it for the Cubs contemplating their lack of confirmed 3B choices and Tucker being unlikely to comply with an extension?

Dan Szymborski: I believe it could possibly be. Although it is determined by the prospects.

Dan Szymborski: I might think about there’d be extra strikes going together with this one

Joe: What kind of extension would ZiPS supply Crochet?

Dan Szymborski: 7/211!

Dan Szymborski: (I really ran this yesterday)

Phil: So, this isn’t essentially a judgment on the commerce, however. . . what on earth do the Pink Sox do at catcher now that Teel is gone? Are they actually content material with Connor Wong long run?

Dan Szymborski: I think that within the short-term, they get one of many spare half catchers hanging round to go together with Wong, and the subsequent long-term catcher isn’t but within the group

wheelhouse: max fried: big overpay, or large overpay?

Dan Szymborski: I’ll say overpay, however to not the diploma that ZiPS thinks

Phil: I actually like that you simply’ve constructed JAWS into WAR. You and Jay are the respective regents of future and previous, so when you work collectively you govern all of time (besides current, which is Clemens’s beat).

Dan Szymborski: So we’re…uh…Nozdormu?

Wyatt: This crop of prospects seems pretty weak up prime. Does ZiPs agree?

Dan Szymborski: Usually sure; there are fewer potential phenom guys, at leas tin ZiPS

Ha: Proper handed first baseman have to cease standing with their left foot on the bag on throws from the catcher. Mobility on a throw ought to take precedent to your shoulder positioning.

equist: Annie Dillard or Anne Lemont?

Dan Szymborski: I learn Pilgrim at Tinker Creek like 15 years in the past however I don’t consider I’ know the identify Lemont

NY: Bellinger, Christian Walker, Bregman and Fried > Soto?

Dan Szymborski: Possibly? However I’m unsure they’re cheaper that Soto

Dan Szymborski: iin truth, I’m rpetty certain they’r enot

Chan: From an outsider perspective, ideas on the Marlins method final couple years? From a playoff run (possibly flukey) to a poor season to now the offseason of flipping main league property.

Dan Szymborski: Nicely, it’s a poor one I believe

Jon: Omg Dan I haven’t made your chats for weeks I’ve a lot to let you know

Dan Szymborski: Thanksgiving was final week and I used to be behind on some work the week earlier than, so that you didn’t miss any for just a few weeks!

Dan Szymborski: Errr flip these

Jon: Actually? Casas is superior and low-cost

Dan Szymborski: I’m not calling a 1B/DH superior except they slug .500 or a minimum of have a excessive OBP

Thanks for the chat!: Does Candelario for Stroman make sense for each groups?

Dan Szymborski: Possibly, in a clumsy manner?

Smiling Politely: I used to be reviewing Soto’s projections for inspiration (think about a 40 12 months previous batting 15% higher than the league, lol), but additionally curious the way you compute OPS+ for 2040–how does norming work for the long run?

Dan Szymborski: I lengthen the idea of league offense

Dan Szymborski: Clearly, I’ve no foundation for figuring out future league efficiency

Luis Gil: Are the yankees critically floating him and is he sufficient to get Tucker on his personal?

Dan Szymborski: On his personal? I’m unsure. I don’t assume that’s the massive want for the Astros

Thanks for the chat!: What would peak Trout at the same age as Soto be trying like in distinction of the present deal?

Dan Szymborski: Trout projected just a little higher on the identical age

Fish: Did you see the Pitcher Checklist article about Mike Elias this morning? Do Baltimore followers have a proper to be nervous that he’s choking the second?

Dan Szymborski: I can’t attest to something happening there!

Dan Szymborski: Aside from the overall disappointment the O’s haven’t landed a Burnes alternative

Doug: How involved ought to groups be by Luis Castillo’s dip in Okay/9 final 12 months?

Dan Szymborski: Mildly. There was a dip in velocity and make contact with stuff

Codeeg.bsky: Max scherzer has been teammates with 9 former cy younger winners, which staff do you assume he may signal with that will add probably the most to this whole?

Dan Szymborski: Giants?

Dan Szymborski: Robbie Ray received a Cy Younger, Logan Webb is a candidate, and the Giants have been related with Burnes, who has one too

small e: The Pink Sox preserve insisting that they don’t intend to do it, but when they *did* intend to maneuver Devers from 3B to 1B/DH, how would that change his long run projections? Is there a precedent for a change to a participant’s offensive manufacturing if they modify defensive positions?

Dan Szymborski: There’s often a minor change

Dan Szymborski: but it surely’s most pronounced shifting from C/SS/2B

Dan Szymborski: not a lot 3B to 1B

Chase My Broth: Chase Meidroth might be one of many higher White Sox bats on condition that the bar for “finest White Sox bat” is buried within the basement someplace.   What number of at bats are we moderately Chase Meidroth accruing and can he be an important White Sox or the best White Sox?

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS really projected Meidroth because the second-best White Sox participant in the intervening time, behind Robert

Jon: Dan, posting once more from a earlier chat: When a minor league participant is traded mid season, it lists his orgs out of order on their participant web page. For instance, see Logan O’Hoppe. Lists Angels, Phillies, then Angels once more.

Dan Szymborski: I can point out it, however I don’t actually deal with that

Tacoby Bellsbury: Is there anybody that pops out in ZiPS from the Rule V draft?

Dan Szymborski: Haven’t actually dug in but

Dan Szymborski: Gage Workman is an fascinating utility sort

Dan Szymborski: however once more, haven’t gone in

jeb: what kind of extension would ZIPS calc for Tucker?

Dan Szymborski: 7/191

Dan Szymborski: (However no extra as I’m in all probability doing an extension piece this winter)

Jon: Is Fried actually that massive of an improve over Cortes?

Dan Szymborski: Rmeember, it’s not THAT direct

Dan Szymborski: The Yankes have some IP danger and Fried stabilizes it

Henry Dodger: What would it not appear to be if Pete Alonso had a blue ox named Babe?

Dan Szymborski: Relies upon if the ox provides WAR

Odoacer: How accessible is the zips historic report? For instance, may you question for the most effective projection for a prospect in 2010?

Dan Szymborski: I often preserve as a lot knowledge as is sensible

BeefLoaf108: Based on ZIPS, which NEWLY acquired White Sox prospect is extra prone to beat my ass in a bar combat? Kyle Teel or Chase Meidroth

Dan Szymborski: I don’t do FiWAR (combat WAR)

Henry Dodger: With King and Stop set to be free brokers subsequent 12 months, ought to SD go for the WS once more this 12 months or do what they did with Soto and attempt to retool on the fly by means of trades?

Dan Szymborski: I’d go all in.

Phil: I like Casas loads and am hoping he isn’t traded. However I agree that there are some severe limitations on his worth in absolute phrases. He shall be a DH for almost all of his profession in the long run, I might guess.

C: What do you consider the Gimenez commerce? Looks like a traditional massive market / small market staff type of commerce

Dan Szymborski: That appears abuot proper

Tacoby Bellsbury: In your submit this morning, you had the listing of profession WAR projections from 2015. Each one among them appeared to have ZiPS overshoot the precise closing whole. Why is that, and do you assume that’s a flaw or simply inherent to how modeling works that far into the long run?

Dan Szymborski: This group didn’t do significantly properly damage/decline smart. An identical listing for 2005 missed low by a mean of 10.3 WAR

Henry Dodger: Does Zips like Profar okay after his late-career breakthrough final season, or is it too fluky?

Dan Szymborski: Likes him as an OK man, however not a star

Sethual Therapeutic: Are the Braves dropping the ball or biding their time?

Dan Szymborski: I believe they’re basically a conservative group and dont’ really feel an enormous want to spend so much on a pitcher

Jon: O’Hoppe remark: thanks, not sure the place else to report it

Dan Szymborski: Wait, did he say somethin ghorrible or one thing?

Dan Szymborski:

Refugee: “Gage Workman is an fascinating utility sort” nominative determinism wins once more

extra casas v forged: Looks like in the event that they did that deal each gamers would carry out worse within the new parks and everybody would stroll away offended

Henry Dodger: Zips would really like an 8 12 months/$250M contract for Burnes higher than the one Fried bought?

Dan Szymborski: Sure

Visitor: Everyone seems to be speaking about Mariner’s pitchers however what about Harry Ford? They’ve Cal, wouldn’t it make sense to maneuver Ford to a staff which may want an up-and-coming catcher? A staff like Boston that simply moved Teel?

Dan Szymborski: If somebody actually needs to bid aggressively on Ford, I believe I’d make the commerce if I’m the Mariners

Dan Szymborski: He’s nonetheless younger, however his 2024 was extraordinarily underwhelming

Adam: The projection for the Phillies outfield WAR reveals they desperately want enchancment there. How do you see them going about this? They’ll’t presumably plan to run it again once more…

Dan Szymborski: I don’t consider the Phillies will do something main there

Julian: 7 / $211m for a Crochet extension??? Good lord, I might’ve guessed one thing nearer to purchasing out his final two arb years after which including on a 7 12 months extension on prime at like $175m whole, $25m AAV. I’ve big religion in him although so I shall be glad if there’s an extension carried out no matter price.

Fantasy Query: Who combines for extra HR + SB: Crews or Lawlar?

Dan Szymborski: Crews

LonelyGiantsFan: Adames and possibly Burnes for the Gigantes subsequent – how do you grade/undertaking offers like these whenever you quit that many draft picks as a consequence of QOs? Clearly present confirmed expertise is desired, however giving up 3-4 draft picks hurts for an org making an attempt to rebuild the farm…

Dan Szymborski: I believe when you get Adames/Burnes you’re not tremendous sad concerning the QO

Dan Szymborski: It’s the fellows like Nick Martinez the place you are concerned

HappyFunBall: Pedantic query, sir. I do know {that a} participant’s age __ season relies on his age on opening day. Does that change in any respect for groups that don’t play on opening day? If there was somebody on the LADs who turned 30 on 03/24, would he be in his age 29 season (as a result of the Dodgers open play on 03/18) or his age 30 season (as a result of the remainder of MLB begins 03/27)?

Dan Szymborski: Seasonal age relies on July 1st

DeeBo: The SP market is HOT, and it appears like an enormous motive is that groups are inserting a heavy premium on guys who they really feel snug slotting into recreation 2 or 3 of a playoff rotation (e.g., Flaherty, Manaea, Severino, and to a lesser extent, Matt Boyd). My query is: Are groups inserting an excessive amount of emphasis on latest playoff expertise? Every of those guys has demonstrated sturdiness and consistency points, and I’m skeptical their 3-4 12 months outlook is that significantly better than, say, Nick Pivetta, who’s nearly certain to command much less cash

Dan Szymborski: I’m nto certain groups are literally emphasizing latest playoff expertise

tnst3b: The fangraphs stroll off factor is fairly cool. I used to be within the prime 1% off customers.

Dan Szymborski: I used to be amused that 1% of FG  customers apparently are within the projections aera greater than me

Jason: Does your long run zips embrace physique sort? So many of those up to date guys are big, together with Soto. We all know there are not any 35+ y/o guys who’ve 3.0 warfare, already.  Will that be more true or falser in 10 years?

Dan Szymborski: I haven’t discovered a variety of use for that

Dan Szymborski: Largely as a result of the information sucks

Robinhood: As a minority proprietor of the Braves (one share at $23.86), please think about our group’s plan

veteran infielder: protecting Mookie at shortstop is the primary main Dodgers misstep since….?

Dan Szymborski: Is it?

Codeeg: how unhealthy are the white sox going to be subsequent 12 months if in addition they lose Roberts and Moncada?

Dan Szymborski: Amusingly so!

Dan Szymborski: However they’ll in all probability win extra video games anyway

Dan Szymborski: That they had loads NOT go their manner

Visitor: What number of video games does ZiPS undertaking Roman Anthony and Kristian Campbell to play this 12 months?

Dan Szymborski: That’s in all probability nto probably the most fascinating a part of a pc projection!

Odoacer: Sonny Grey has expressed that he needs to remain in St. Louis….however seeing the warmth out there, may he make sense to be moved? Wouldn’t he match properly in Baltimore?

Dan Szymborski: I believe he’d be enjoyable in Baltimore, although I consider it extra as a fallback possibility

Tom: Appears to me like the whole NL West ought to retool till the Dodgers get much less good

Burnes: What occurs first? I’m signed or one other SP blockbuster commerce.

Dan Szymborski: Signed

Thanks for the chat!: What about Stroman for Hoskins? Higher match for each side?

Dan Szymborski: It’s a greater mediocre problem commerce I Suppose!

FG: The 12 months in evaluate factor didn’t specify how a lot time was spent on the staff depth charts, proper? Or was that labeled as one thing else?

Phillies: I preserve listening to that the Phillies need to shake issues up and will commerce Bohm, however I’m not listening to what it’s that they need to enhance. A middle fielder?

Dan Szymborski: I don’t count on the Phillies to be suepr lively. I believe you’ll see largely the identical staff

seth: are you able to add Zips 2026 and ZIPS 2027 to the public sale calculator?

Dan Szymborski: I may ask David

War2d2: The rumor is the Astros need Suzuki, Paredes, and Matt Shaw for Tucker. Am I being a typical meathead homer in considering that will be a foul transfer on the Cubs’ half? I get that Tucker at his finest is an MVP candidate, however that looks as if you’re on the dropping aspect when doing the mixed WAR math on that, not even making an allowance for that Tucker goes to be a FA that possession in all probability received’t pay for in a 12 months. Leaving Shaw off the deal appears extra equitable? Possibly?

Dan Szymborski: I believe ti’s loads for one 12 months of Tucker

Dan Szymborski: particularly since Shaw’s a candidate to be the alternative at 3B whenever you commerce for Tucker!

Henry Dodger: Are the 2024 White Sox (most losses) or the 1962 Mets (worst successful proportion) the most important MLB losers of all time? Or is it a wonderful tie?

Dan Szymborski: I believe the White Sox

Dan Szymborski: becuase I don’t assume they ACTUALLY REALIZED THEY WERE TERRIBLE getting into the seaosn

Dan Szymborski: The Mets have been an enlargement staff, so it wasn’t a staff they rigorously assembled, and I doubt that they had any expectations aside from them being unhealthy

Dan Szymborski: Although I don’t really KNOW how they thought-about themselves again in 1962

Additionally Dan: General ideas on the White Sox’s return for Crochet?

Dan Szymborski: It’s not loopy – Crochet comes with danger – however I’d be actually disappionted to not come away with one among Mayer, Anthony, or Campbell

ZiPy: If ZiPs began to make AI rap music, what would it not’s rap identify be?

Dan Szymborski: Hey, I take advantage of suno and udio for the AI music!

Dan Szymborski: and it IS enjoyable to do

Dan Szymborski: (That’s a Fifties model of Child Received Again)

D: Crochet at 7191–two questions: 1. Does that embrace the primary 2 years being arb years, and a pair of. What number of innings per 12 months is it projecting. Thanks!

Dan Szymborski: Oops, sorry, i misinterpret, I believed it was IF he was a FA

Dan Szymborski: It’s 180 with arb years

D: Do you assume WAR underestimates the worth of beginning pitchers? It appears that evidently we’re pretty usually shocked by the scale of SP contracts. Maybe in giving relievers credit score for his or her excessive leverage innings, WAR is devaluing the SP’s contribution to creating these conditions?

Dan Szymborski: I don’t assume so – I frequently replace the way it converts into moeny

Yeah Nicely Hiura Towel: Whaddya imply? My grandma simply gave me a cool $765 mil

Jon G: How do you think about the impression of a sequencing of offers for the Cubs would play out? Like, in the event that they transfer ahead with the Tucker factor, are they positively screwed on a Bellinger deal (i.e. must eat considerably greater than they might in a vacuum)? Or does taking an possibility away from, say, the Yankees assist them out?

Dan Szymborski: I’m simply unsure they really get Tucker whiel they nonetheless emplly Bellinger

Truffles+Kakes: “Dan Szymborski12:21I don’t do FiWAR (combat WAR)” However what if ZiPs took into consideration for gamers who use Combat Milk?

Dan Szymborski: Nicely, you want proportion of potential to combat like a crow

G: Pirates are supposedly prepared to deal Jared Jones for hitting. Would Jones for Casas make extra sense for everybody concerned than the rumored Castillo for Casas deal?

Dan Szymborski: I believe that is extra prone to be believable

Dan Szymborski: Now, this Mets/Grimace AI tune may be the weirdest on eI made.

David Stearns: Are the Mets the favourite for the nl east? What does zip undertaking as a good Alonso contract?

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS is terrified of Alonso

D: Nonetheless confused concerning the Crochet $ projection. He stands to make one thing like $4 mil in arb this 12 months and possibly $10 mil in arb subsequent 12 months. How does his contract drop from 7/191 to 7/180 in that case?

Dan Szymborski: 211 to 180

Alfs: Do the ZiPS $ projections take note of how the market is valuing participant efficiency? Or is it making an attempt to be extra goal (i.e., how a lot SHOULD a staff pay)?

Dan Szymborski: Making an attempt to get what they ARE spending

Dan Szymborski: 191 was Tucker

War2d2: Thanks for the reply! Shaw being the apparent alternative for Paredes anyway was my predominant concern on a potential Tucker deal. Glad to have the validation that I’m not the one skeptical one.

Jon: Who tasks higher between Roman Anthony and Kristian Campbell? Additionally, when do the Pink Sox projections come out?

Dan Szymborski: In ZiPS, Campbell

DeeBo: Brewers have some work to do to shore up the infield after the Adames loss. Do you see them filling the hole internally or buying and selling for a long term resolution out of their outfield depth, say, Mitchell or Frelick?

Dan Szymborski: I count on it’ll be inside

Henry Dodger: I believe the Marlins are doomed with this possession but like what Peter Bendix is doing to date. Are you a fan of his strikes?

Dan Szymborski: I’m a fan of what he’s tried to do, however he’s mainly like a contestant on High Chef who drew the “cardboard field” knife reasonably than the “scallops” one within the elimination problem

Visitor: If Luis Castillo have been to be traded, which groups do you assume can be the most effective matches for him?

Dan Szymborski: Orioles!

Jewish Pache: Can ZIPS put a greenback determine on the decide out in Severino’s contract? For the lifetime of me, I can’t perceive why they included that with the cap it places on each his contract’s potential worth to the A’s and his commerce worth. Haven’t actually seen it mentioned

Dan Szymborski: I can, however I don’t have that robotically inbuilt but, so there’s extra work and I can’t do it shortly

Phil: The expertise of the ’61 Angels and Senators in all probability made it clear to the Mets and Houston that they wouldn’t be aggressive even earlier than the draft began. The Angels (70 wins) have been in all probability the most effective reasonable end result the best way the principles have been structured. Exhausting to match to a staff that simply slides into terribility.

Kevin: Are you able to consider any examples of a participant exceeding their 99th percentile projection?

Dan Szymborski: Hopefully there are 18-20 a 12 months!

Tony Clark: Why doesn’t the MLBPA touch upon participant statements that the ball modifications? It and gamers being threatened for sending recreation used balls to a scientist look like points they need to push.

Dan Szymborski: Undecided. What it comes all the way down to is I don’t have a variety of information about finest PR practices for a union!

DeeBo: New playoff format (i.e., 3-game WC collection along with 5 recreation LDS) has made elite beginning pitching much more essential, proper? Looks like that is enjoying an element in greater than anticipated SP valuations

Dan Szymborski: A bit of untimely although!

Dr Meredith Wills: may Patrick Sandoval find yourself getting more cash as a free agent?

Dan Szymborski: I believe it’s actually potential that he will get a 1/8 pillow take care of an possibility

Kevin: Okay, what gamers who play full-time come to thoughts as furthest exceeding their 99th percentile projection?

Dan Szymborski: I THINK offhand it was Doyle?

Odoacer: What induced the Roman Empire to fail? And the way can we draw parallels to the Yankees?

Dan Szymborski: Offhand, I’d say exterior migration strain, overexpansion, military seize

Yeah Nicely Hiura Towel: Soto projected for 583 homers, but a SLG below .500…appear odd?

Dan Szymborski: He’s not an enormous doubles man and his profession BA has in all probability peaked already

Jon: I simply don’t get a projection of Tucker getting below $200 mil. How is that potential given his age and skill to pump out 5 wins a 12 months?

Dan Szymborski: For one, it begins at 29 and the expectation is that his 29-35 common WAR shall be lower than his 23-28 WAR

GuardianKnot: Hey Dan – do you ever do ZiPS for fictional characters? Asking as a result of within the Ultraman film on Netflix they state that Ken Sato hit .420 with 670ish stolen bases whereas enjoying for the Dodgers, and I might like to see the profession projections/contract estimate.

Dan Szymborski: They by no means give a full lin!

Dan Szymborski: I’d like to do a Buck Bokai projection

wheelhouse: can zips recreation out what a participant’s projection would appear to be *if* they made one particular enchancment? curious what, in a hypothetical universe, spencer jones’ batting line can be with a 30.0 Okay%

Dan Szymborski: Sure

Dan Szymborski: It’s really one thing brokers particularly wish to get

Codeeg: Presently considering of the yankees entrance workplace recreating the moneyball scene the place they speak concerning the combination after they misplaced out on Soto.

Odoacer: What’s the preferrred league construction, in your opinion? I like 32 groups (so 2 enlargement groups comparatively quickly), 2 “leagues” of 16, 4 divisions of 4 groups, division winners plus 4 wildcards for the playoffs. My solely hesitation is possibly too many playoff groups.

Dan Szymborski: No byes is a HUGE no no for me

Dan Szymborski: I’d like both a small playoffs of evenly matched groups

Dan Szymborski: or, if a big playoffs, SIGNIFICANT handicaps for lesser seeds

Dan Szymborski: With a 16 staff playoffs

Dan Szymborski: I’d need EVERY decrease seeded staff to must SWEEP the higher staff

Jon: Tucker received’t be 29 when he reaches FA

Dan Szymborski: He’s 28 for 2025

Dan Szymborski: and 29 for 2026

Dan Szymborski: 1/17/97

Dan Szymborski: God, I’m getting sufficiently old that I COULD have a 30-year-old child

Jon: Oops. I’m a 12 months off on his FA

Dan Szymborski: I believe you’re considering FA in 2025 not the primary 12 months as 26

Jon: Sorry Dan. You’re all the time proper ❤️

Dan Szymborski: I want

Dan Szymborski: (or possibly I don’t as that woudl be boring)

My identify: are you pestered by brokers for knowledge ??

Dan Szymborski: I’m unsure I’d name it PESTERING. I’ve been an information supplier for groups/brokers for greater than 15 years. However the confidentiality wall ESPN wanted and I’ve maintained is that I by no means supply any advisory opinion. I hit a button, ship what the button says, and I take each request at an an identical worth

My identify: how does that ’50s model of ‘child bought again’ not have 8 million views?!

Dan Szymborski: I believe persons are largely irritated by my AI nonsense

projections: So. Are you able to inform me what’s likelier, that an individual EVER has a ten WAR season or that an individual with two by no means has a 3rd (which appears very probably however you get my level)?

Dan Szymborski: The second

Bob Loblaw: What do you consider having a homerun derby as an alternative of additional innings? It might be like when historical Greeks would ship their finest warrior to sq. up in opposition to the opposite aspect’s finest warrior.

Dan Szymborski: I’d need to see the way it works out within the minors first to see how horrible it’s

Dan Szymborski: There’s a weirdness about baseball in that folks get SUPER MAD that baseball is performed the best way it’s now, but additionally SUPER MAD when you recommend any rule modifications that change the best way baseball is performed proper now

Dan Szymborski: Too many individuals simply assume “Hey, how about no person simply use analytics and we’ll magically be 1986” which is nearly probably the most absurd argument ever

DeeBo: It’s fairly unhealthy that the A’s ran a $62m payroll final 12 months and now, with a possible MLBPA grievance looming, seemingly see no points elevating it to over $100m whilst they name a AAA stadium dwelling in the meanwhile

Dan Szymborski: It’s like bidding $20 at a college fundraiser on your child’s shitty crayon drawing of Batman.

DanDaMan: Hey Dan, do you contract with different web writers about utilizing your projections? I believe I’ve seen some of us use ZiPS 3-year to gas their very own “commerce calculator” issues that they put behind paywalls and puzzled whether or not they license the information from you.

Dan Szymborski: I don’t consider there’s a lot I can do about that

Dan Szymborski: On the finish of the day, the projections are info generated by a projection system publicly, and that’s not copyrightable

Dan Szymborski: and there’s no phrases of service problem; anybody can see the projections with out a contractual settlement

Dan Szymborski: Fantasy websites could have the three-years

Dan Szymborski: however solely events that pay get these up to date in season! OR 10 years!

Dan: Does Soto undertaking related Remainder of Profession to Trout when he was 26? I don’t recall when the accidents began knocking down his long run expectations.

Dan Szymborski: Much less so

Minors: Thanks for giving this such a go, Dan. What kind of park components will we count on for the A’s and Rays this 12 months?

Dan Szymborski: I’ve sutter dwelling as an nearly impartial pitchers’ park baed on being a superb pitchers’ park within the loopy PCL

Dan Szymborski: err sutter HEALTH

Dan Szymborski: And I’ve no foundation for Steinbrenner Area, so I’ve that as netural

Henry Dodger: Are the Rockies not as gormless as they was?

Dan Szymborski: I stated good issues within the readout!

DanDaMan: Is Basallo the most effective bat within the minors per ZiPS? Is Williamson the most effective defender?

Dan Szymborski: I consider Campbell charges out as finest bat in minors at this second

Dan Szymborski: and ben Williamson as finest defender

Dan Szymborski: although did I say taht already? That’s an important guess!

Visitor: Who does ZiPs like higher out of Walker Jenkins and Roman Anthony? I’m very intrigued by each so simply curious!

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS prefers Anthony

Alfs: Re playoff construction: I too need the higher groups to advance extra usually. However do you assume MLB likes the present crapshoot nature?

Dan Szymborski: Sure. A crapshoot championship reduces the worth of a win

Highest overperformer: Because you began doing these, have you learnt who has overperformed their projections from after not more than a cup of espresso (so, not a ROY season or something) probably the most?

Dan Szymborski: I dunno off hand

Dan Szymborski: Possibly BrandoN Crawford just a few years in the past?

Dan Szymborski: However that’s a wild guess

FunFella13: re: the 50s model of Child Received Again, take a look at Richard Cheese’s “My Neck, My Again”

Dan Szymborski: I’m conscious of Cheese!

DanDaMan: I believe you talked about that he was nice within the Ms ZiPS breakdown however didn’t know whether or not that was for ALL positions or simply 3B

Dan Szymborski: Really, he’s behind Connor Burns barely in D

v2micca: Is it protected to say the Juan Soto was the one extremely wanted 26 12 months previous that New Yorkers are glad didn’t slip away from town this previous week?

Dan Szymborski: heh

Dan Szymborski: That’s a superb word to finish on!

Dan Szymborski: Thanks for coming alL!