Saturday, December 28, 2024

Celtics have a teensy weensy drawback: small, fast guards

The Celtics have now misplaced three of their final 4, this one to a Philadelphia 76ers workforce whose Huge Three has barely shared the court docket collectively. Nevertheless it wasn’t Paul George or Joel Embiid who killed the Celtics. As an alternative, it was the diminutive Tyrese Maxey who persistently blew previous his defenders and obtained two ft into the paint, the place he both completed an more and more absurd array of layups or sprayed out to Philadelphia’s keen — and uncharacteristically correct — shooters.

(Aspect be aware: Might you by no means discover somebody who hates you as a lot as Caleb Martin hates Boston.)

By the top, Maxey had amassed 33 factors and 12 assists. It was yet one more in a protracted line of huge video games from small guards towards the Celtics. We’re just some weeks from Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell combining for 57 factors on 33 pictures with simply three mixed turnovers. Proper after that, it was Ja Morant for 32 and 9.

And people are solely within the losses. The Celtics have emerged victorious this season regardless of large performances from guys like Damian Lillard (33 factors on 15 pictures) and Cam Thomas (31 factors). Even the Wizards’ Jordan Poole has had two good video games towards Boston in three tries.

This development dates again to final yr’s playoffs when Donovan Mitchell torched the Celtics in three video games, scoring 32 factors on 52% field-goal capturing and 53% deep-shot capturing earlier than he obtained harm.

Now, these are all excellent gamers (give or take a Poole celebration). Everyone struggles to defend fast guards. However the Celtics aren’t all people, and they need to attempt for higher.

(Relatedly, Boston has struggled with quick groups since final season. This yr, the three groups with the quickest time to a shot — Memphis, Atlanta, and Chicago — have all overwhelmed the Celtics. Nonetheless, that angle deserves its personal story, so we gained’t get into it right here.)

Jrue Vacation is handsy and bodily, however he’s seemed a quarter-step slower this season (he missed final night time’s sport towards Philly). He’s been blown by extra usually this season than I can ever keep in mind seeing earlier than. His superior metrics, whereas nonetheless glorious, additionally recommend he’s having his worst defensive efficiency since his early New Orleans days.

Derrick White is an exceptional participant and defender, however he’s at his greatest as a helper, the place he is perhaps the very best within the league. He’s somewhat extra susceptible as a straight-up one-on-one defender.

That leaves us with Jaylen Brown, who, since final season, has usually taken on the function of guarding the opposite workforce’s quickest guards. Brown has developed into an incredible close-quarters fighter, utilizing jabs, physicality, and pristine footwork to torture small guards when he can set the phrases of engagement. His bullying of Lillard earlier within the season was top-of-the-line on-ball defensive sequences of the season:

And even final night time, Brown had success when he picked Tyrese Maxey up excessive close to the halfcourt line, like a boxer pushing their opponent towards the ropes:


The issue is that persistently executing that stage of particular person protection over a full sport is untenable. It requires immense vitality and might result in foul hassle. Fashionable groups are adept at utilizing screens and off-ball work to get weaker defenders switched onto ballhandlers. Even when Brown had been prime Kawhi Leonard, he can’t recover from each display screen, and he wants extra assist from Boston’s bigs than this:


Containing the swiftest gamers will at all times be a workforce effort that closely includes the facilities. Pretty much as good as Kristaps Porzingis and Al Horford are, they aren’t the fleetest of foot. Porzingis is a robust shotblocker, however he’s been hampered by accidents and hasn’t seemed comfy in area. Horford, in the meantime, has had loads of good defensive moments however doesn’t have the minute-by-minute athleticism to comprise the very best downhill drivers persistently.

It’s not their fault. On the perimeter, just about no large gamers have the lateral quickness to maintain up with one-cut guards like Maxey, which is why it’s so vital to maintain him in a field and present early assist.

Tatum, specifically, stands to enhance. He has spent massive chunks of the yr guarding facilities, which implies he’s usually the final line of protection. Tatum has typically acquitted himself properly within the publish and on the boards, and I applaud him for that — guarding up a dimension is difficult and sometimes thankless! However weirdly, he normally appears much more involved with entering into rebounding place than lending a serving to hand:


These struggles aren’t simply anecdotal, though they fail the attention check like me after I by accident enrolled in a grad-level laptop structure class. Need some ugly stats? Based on Synergy, the Celtics enable the third-highest factors per possession towards pick-and-roll ballhandlers. They’re additionally properly beneath common on hand-offs, an identical offensive mechanism, and isolations. Good on-ball guards don’t battle towards Boston like they need to on paper.

I’ve talked beforehand about why giving up pictures to pick-and-roll ballhandlers and gamers in isolation is an effective factor total; these are typically inefficient playtypes. However that doesn’t imply the Celtics can’t attempt to be higher! Display navigation was a significant energy of Boston’s perimeter guys final season, however Vacation, White, and Brown have all been just a bit bit worse in that space this season. Perhaps they need to take some cues from Donald Duck.

Is it effort, the championship hangover impact? To an extent. Is it a scarcity of communication? A minimum of somewhat. I’m unsure what number of instances we’ve seen Vacation and White leveled like a crash-test dummy at halfcourt after they attempt to choose up a ballhandler excessive, however I do know it’s too many:


The Celtics’ basic defensive scheme loathes overhelping. Watch that Maxey clip once more; see how reluctant Boston’s different three defenders are to depart their males, and that’s by design. Joe Mazzulla is comfy letting guys work towards Brown, White, and Vacation and residing with the outcomes.

Ought to he be? We’re beginning to collect a physique of proof that this technique could have to be tweaked towards sure jitterbug guards. Nobody within the league leaves his defenders on an island like Mazzulla, and the Celtics’ previous defensive successes show the effectiveness of that technique. The league is at all times altering, although. Groups modify to success. Boston could be smart to bend — at the very least somewhat — with them.

The sky isn’t falling. This isn’t a demise knell to Boston’s repeat hopes, and so they’ve tallied some excellent video games towards scoring guards like Trae Younger (who, to be truthful, isn’t very fast) and Lillard on totally different nights. However on the similar time, doubling up as a champion is difficult, and it means plugging no matter leaks within the Good Ship Russell pop up all through the season. The Celtics will probably should face at the very least two of Maxey, Lillard, Mitchell, and Jalen Brunson (who dropped 34 and 39 in consecutive video games towards the Celtics final season) within the playoffs. They should begin problem-solving sooner moderately than later.

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