Sunday, October 6, 2024

Can Verstappen hold his cool as stress grows? Belgian GP speaking factors · RaceFans

Max Verstappen did not hold his cool in Hungary and it value him. Will he do higher at Spa – and are Purple Bull contemplating an engine change and penalty for him?

He has no scarcity of rivals lining as much as capitalise, although none of them have managed to win a couple of race but, one thing which certainly has to alter quickly. And with a recent new floor we might see some significantly fast lap instances at one among F1’s quickest circuits.

Listed below are the speaking factors for the Belgian Grand Prix.

Verstappen feeling the warmth?

Because the Components 1 season handed its midway level at Silverstone it had turn into clear that half two of the championship was not going to be as easy for runaway chief Verstappen as half one had been. First McLaren, then Mercedes emerged as real contenders for victory.

Given his substantial lead within the championship, constant points-gathering needs to be enough for Verstappen to seal his fourth title. However that form of conservatism doesn’t come naturally to him, and in Hungary his maximum-aggression strategy backfired as he tangled with Lewis Hamilton. Given the penalties Fernando Alonso and Carlos Sainz Jnr picked up for related incidents earlier this 12 months, Verstappen ought to rely himself lucky to not have gotten into bother.

Will this weekend be a continuation of the belligerence on the observe and on his radio we noticed final weekend? Or will Verstappen resolve that reining it in might characterize his greatest path to the title?

Engine adjustments?

Spa’s lengthy straights make it a helpful venue to have a recent engine and the relative ease of overtaking makes qualifying additional down the grid much less of an obstacle. Any drivers already on the restrict for his or her variety of energy unit parts ought to subsequently think about making a change.

Step ahead Verstappen, who has taken engine change penalties at this race for the final two years in a row and is as soon as once more up at his restrict. It will be no shock to see Purple Bull make one other change right here, however he might nicely not be the one one.

Will anybody double up?

Oscar Piastri, McLaren, Spa-Francorchamps, 2023
Piastri confirmed glorious pace at Spa final 12 months

The excellent news for Verstappen is that none of his rivals have managed to win greater than a single race thus far this 12 months. Will any of them double up this weekend?

The strongest candidate may very well be F1’s latest winner, Oscar Piastri. He carried out fantastically at Spa final 12 months, out-qualifying Lando Norris in dash race and grand prix qualifying.

Count on Norris to be a risk once more this weekend, whereas the observe format and anticipated decrease temperatures ought to go well with Mercedes higher than the Hungaroring did. Ferrari have sunk again to fourth-quickest staff and Spa’s high-speed corners might expose their key weak point – the bouncing which developed after their final main improve. The staff beforehand thought-about reverting to and older specification for this weekend.

RB vs Haas – and Aston Martin?

Haas did not proceed their latest run of excellent ends in Hungary because the excessive downforce observe didn’t go well with their just lately upgraded automobile. However the VF-24 is prone to go well with this observe significantly better. “We’ve been environment friendly on lengthy straights so our strengths ought to come out and shine right here,” mentioned Kevin Magnussen.

That ought to give them the possibility to additional shut on RB, who’re simply six factors forward of them within the championship. Aston Martin look out of attain for these two groups, as they’re one other 36 factors away from RB, but when they haven’t obtained on high of their latest issues and slip out of factors rivalry, they may face a grim second half of the season.

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Final probabilities for Perez and Sargeant?

Sergio Perez, Red Bull, Hungaroring, 2024
Perez can sick afford extra bother in qualifying

The Belgian Grand Prix is the ultimate race earlier than the summer season break and it may very well be an anxious one for 2 drivers whose locations of their groups have been thrown into doubt.

Sergio Perez compromised his weekend once more in Hungary by crashing in qualifying. Though he did a stable job to salvage seventh place on Sunday, that is nonetheless nicely under what his Purple Bull is able to. Is an absence of compelling alternate options the one factor protecting him within the seat?

Logan Sargeant’s manner in Hungary was taken by many as an indication that he fears he may very well be and not using a drive quickly. Hypothesis has linked Mercedes junior driver Andrea Kimi Antonelli with that seat, and after taking his second win in Components 2 final weekend his backers might justifiably conclude there’s much less for him to be taught in that class than Components 1.

Document-breaking speeds?

Round half of Spa-Francorchamps, the longest circuit in Components 1, has been resurfaced forward of this 12 months’s race. The work was accomplished a number of weeks in the past, permitting loads of time for the floor to mature.

Pirelli anticipate to see “a major discount in lap instances and a substantial enhance within the grip stage on the resurfaced sections.” Will we subsequently see record-breaking lap instances?

Moist situations meant final 12 months’s lap instances didn’t strategy one of the best of 2022, when Verstappen posted a better of 1’43.665. The file was set in 2020 by Hamilton, who lapped in 1’41.252. With two years of automobile improvement plus a grippier floor, that would come underneath risk if – and that is all the time an enormous ‘if’ at Spa – it stays dry.

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