The Brewers’ season got here to a heartbreaking finish final week, as they carried a lead into the ninth inning of their deciding recreation in opposition to the Mets within the Wild Card spherical, however the Mets put collectively a late rally and took the collection. For Milwaukee, which means the main target has now shifted to 2025 and supervisor Pat Murphy just lately mentioned some subjects associated to the roster, with Curt Hogg rounding them up in a chunk for the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
One of many gamers Murphy discusses was Aaron Ashby. The lefty as soon as appeared like a budding beginning earlier than getting derailed by shoulder points. He completed 2024 on a robust be aware out of the bullpen nevertheless it appears the skipper hasn’t given up on the potential for the southpaw being a rotation choice once more sooner or later.
“Should you’re asking me at this time if he belongs in that late inning function, I’d say no,” Murphy stated. “I’d say he’s extra of a candidate to throw extra innings as a result of his stuff is fairly particular and there’s a spread there. That’s going to be mentioned, the trail. And it needs to be player-driven. The participant has to need sure issues or no less than be in a wholesome dialogue about it.”
Ashby confirmed his potential when he first got here as much as the massive leagues. Over the 2021 and 2022 seasons, he tossed 139 innings in a swing function, making 23 begins and 17 reduction appearances. He allowed 4.47 earned runs per 9 innings however with higher peripherals. He struck out 27.1% of batters confronted, gave out walks at a 9.7% fee and stored balls in play on the bottom at a 57.8% clip.
The Brewers clearly believed in what was forward for Ashby, as they signed him to an extension throughout that 2022 marketing campaign. The five-year deal assured him $20.5MM and in addition got here with membership choices for 2028 and 2029, valued at $9MM and $13MM respectively, with a $1MM buyout on the primary one.
Sadly, the primary 12 months of that deal was wasted. Ashby handled shoulder issues in 2023 and ultimately required arthroscopic surgical procedure, not pitching within the majors in any respect. Right here in 2024, Ashby had been relegated to a depth choice. He spent many of the first half on non-obligatory project, being recalled twice to make spot begins.
In late August, Ashby was recalled from the minors and added to the Milwaukee bullpen. He tossed 19 2/3 innings over 12 appearances down the stretch, with wonderful outcomes. He had a 1.37 ERA, 36.8% strikeout fee, 3.9% stroll fee and 51.1% floor ball fee.
Given these wonderful outcomes, there is likely to be some temptation to simply hold Ashby in a reduction function, nevertheless it’s additionally comprehensible that the Brewers haven’t given up on the rotation path. A stable starter is extra helpful to a membership than reliever, usually talking, and the Brewers ought to be capable of put collectively a bullpen with out Ashby’s contributions. Even when Devin Williams is traded, which appears to be on the desk, Milwaukee can flip to guys like Trevor Megill, Joel Payamps, Bryan Hudson and Jared Koenig for key bullpen roles.
The range that Murphy referred to is certainly current, as Ashby threw 5 completely different pitches within the majors this 12 months: a four-seamer, sinker, changeup, curveball and slider. It appears he had a little bit of rust in harnessing that arsenal whereas getting over his misplaced season in 2023, as he walked 17.4% of batters confronted in Triple-A this 12 months whereas posting an 8.04 ERA. However as talked about, he was capable of get in grove by the tip of the 12 months.
Going ahead, it appears Ashby can nonetheless attempt to carve out a rotation function if he desires one. Additionally within the rotation combine might be Tobias Myers, who Murphy views as a lock for a job. “In my ideas, he’s a particular,” Murphy stated. “However he’s received to go do it within the offseason. He’s received to come back again out, recapture that mentality and recapture the arsenal, which isn’t at all times straightforward.”
It’s unsurprising that Myers has earned some job safety after his sturdy efficiency in 2024. He pitched 138 innings for the Brewers this 12 months with a flat 3.00 ERA. He had a 22.3% strikeout fee, 6.3% stroll fee and 37.6% floor ball fee. He benefitted a bit from a .282 batting common on balls in play and 81.1% strand fee, however even his 3.91 FIP and three.99 SIERA counsel he would have been stable with out as a lot favor from the baseball gods.
There are some questions for the Brewers to reply of their rotation going ahead. Freddy Peralta might be locked into one spot and it appears Myers will as properly. Colin Rea posted a 4.29 ERA this 12 months and the Brewers have a $5.5MM membership choice for 2025 with a $1MM buyout. That makes it a web $4.5MM determination, which is a cut price for a stable back-end starter. Guys like Lance Lynn, Kyle Gibson and Luis Severino received one-year offers value between $11MM and $13MM final offseason. The Brewers themselves gave $8.5MM to Wade Miley, although he sadly required Tommy John surgical procedure early within the 12 months.
Aaron Civale might be retained for 2025 however he’ll price greater than Rea. He’s eligible for arbitration and MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz initiatives him for a wage of $8MM subsequent 12 months. Given the aforementioned costs for back-end starters, that’s affordable for Civale, who had a 4.36 ERA in 31 begins this 12 months. However the Brewers usually work with tight budgets and might need much less TV income coming in subsequent 12 months, so maybe they may discover the commerce market.
DL Corridor is another choice, as he labored each out of the rotation and bullpen in 2024. However he missed loads of time as a consequence of a left knee sprain and wasn’t capable of pile up a giant pattern of labor. He completed the 12 months with a 5.02 ERA throughout seven begins and 6 reduction appearances.
One other large query mark might be Brandon Woodruff, who missed all of 2024 recovering from shoulder surgical procedure. He’s beneath contract for 2025 however he’ll be an incredible unknown for subsequent 12 months, doubtless till spring coaching rolls round. Robert Gasser may return late subsequent 12 months after present process UCL surgical procedure a number of months in the past. Jacob Misiorowski is likely one of the greatest pitching prospects within the league and he completed the 12 months at Triple-A, however he additionally walked 14.4% of batters confronted on the 12 months and would possibly nonetheless want some high quality tuning.
Between Peralta, Myers, Woodruff, Ashby, Corridor, Rea, Civale and Misiorowski, the Brewers have eight potential rotation choices, although the lengthy winter forward may change the image by way of additions or subtractions.
