Golf’s main season is formally over after final week’s sensible efficiency at The Open by Xander Schauffele. Whereas I didn’t have a ticket on Schauffele to win The Open, I used to be holding a pleasant +700 ticket on him to complete high 20 in all 4 majors. Now, the two-time main champion has a powerful argument for PGA Tour Participant of the Yr in opposition to World No.1 Scottie Scheffler. If the vote had been as much as me, I’d have issue passing up on Schaffuele after profitable two majors in the identical season.
That stated, neither Schaffuele nor Scheffler might be teeing it up at this week’s 3M Open.
Regardless of most of the golfers who performed in final week’s Open deciding to sit down this week out, we should always nonetheless be excited for an additional alternative to wager on skilled golf.
Staged at TPC Twin Cities, the 3M Open gives spectators with some motion. The course isn’t notably tough, however with 27 water hazards, one shot off-target can deliver massive numbers into play.
Essentially the most important stat correlation we’ve seen over time is ball hanging. This week, I’m concentrating on in-form ball strikers who’re both nice putters or streaky putters. We’ve seen golfers like Tony Finau come right here and dominate whereas getting scorching with the putter.
Key Metrics Correlated to Success:
- Strokes Gained: Ball Hanging
- SG: Off the Tee
- SG: Method
- Birdie or Higher Gained
- SG: Par 5
- Sand Saves
- SG: Placing
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3M Open Greatest Guess
Nick Dunlap to win +4500
Successful tournaments in back-to-back weeks is sort of inconceivable, as is profitable a PGA event as an newbie. Nonetheless, Dunlap has already completed that feat. He has since turned professional and picked up his second skilled win, making him the primary participant in PGA Tour historical past to win as an newbie {and professional} in the identical season.
Going again to Dunlap this week, +4500 feels practically necessary. On the Barracuda, you’re required to hit fairways and make sufficient birdies to stay aggressive all week. The phrase “birdie fest” will get thrown round typically, so I gained’t go that far this week. Nonetheless, these in rivalry will make a number of birdies.
Dunlap does lots very properly. This season, he’s been a big-time gainer on method and has an ideal scoring common on par 5s.
Staying out of bother might be very important for the Alabama product, however this course may have calls for much like these of the Tahoe Mountain Membership. Why not again Dunlap to win?
