Simply 16 groups stay within the 2025 girls’s NCAA Match. March Insanity started with 68 groups and we whittled down the sector final weekend. Alongside the way in which, we noticed gamers face former groups, some squads make assertion wins, information damaged, historical past made, and one huge bummer of an unlucky harm.
March goes on. This weekend, eight groups will likely be despatched to Spokane, Washington, and one other eight to Birmingham, Alabama. When the mud lastly settles subsequent Monday evening, simply 4 groups will stay to vie for a nationwide championship.
We’re rating the 16 groups remaining, sorting them by their probabilities to win the nationwide title in Tampa, Florida.
16. Oklahoma
It’s been a enjoyable season for the Sooners – who by the way in which simply landed the nation’s No. 1 recruit in Aaliyah Chavez – and are within the Candy 16 for the primary time since 2013. Sadly for Raegan Beers and co., they’re about to run up in opposition to UConn, which has received 12 video games in a row since shedding at rival Tennessee on Feb. 6. The Huskies are on a mission and Oklahoma is simply in the way in which.
15. Ole Miss
If there’s one factor that’s true about Ole Miss it’s that the Rebels don’t have any back-down in them. Coach Yo’s squad isn’t intimidated by anybody. However confidence may not be sufficient in opposition to Lauren Betts and the Bruins. Even when Ole Miss can pull off an upset, gifted and high-scoring groups in LSU or N.C. State awaits.
14. Kansas State
The Wildcats are within the Candy 16 for the primary time since 2002 and have an actual shot at upsetting a USC workforce that’s going to be enjoying with out famous person sophomore JuJu Watkins. However even when the Wildcats do advance to the Elite Eight, UConn doubtless awaits. And identical to when the Dying Star blew up Alderaan, the Huskies will zap the Wildcats.
13. Maryland
Brenda Frese is a superb coach, Shyanne Selliers is a gifted guard, and the Terps have a number of stable items round her. However South Carolina is up subsequent and, sadly for Maryland, we’ve seen this film earlier than.
12. USC
With out JuJu Watkins, there’s likelihood that USC struggles in opposition to Kansas State. Even when they beat the Wildcats comfortably, UConn doubtless awaits. Even with Watkins again in December – a sport that the Huskies’ Azzi Fudd solely performed in for eight minutes – USC narrowly received by two factors. Sadly for the Trojans, attending to the Last 4 appears extremely unlikely now.
11. Tennessee
Kim Caldwell’s Woman Vols misplaced at Texas by simply 4 factors earlier this season and have an actual likelihood at pulling off an upset over the Longhorns within the Candy 16. But when that occurs, they’ll face the winner of Notre Dame and TCU. It’s not unimaginable for Tennessee to beat a kind of groups, however they’ll must play a near-perfect sport.
10. North Carolina
Let’s say the Tar Heels can beat Duke, which they did in an absolute rock combat earlier this season in Carmichael Area with Alyssa Ustby and Reniya Kelly wholesome. Up subsequent – if we’re being trustworthy with ourselves – might be South Carolina. Now, this UNC workforce and this South Carolina workforce are very totally different from those that met within the second spherical final season, the place the Gamecocks completely bulldozed the Tar Heels. For one, this South Carolina roster doesn’t have Kamilla Cardoso and Ashlyn Watkins. Two, UNC isn’t decimated by accidents prefer it was a season in the past and may really play greater than two scholarship guards. Will these variations be sufficient, or will Courtney Banghart drop to 0-4 in opposition to Daybreak Staley?
9. Duke
Okay, let’s flip that final level: Let’s assume Duke beats North Carolina and will get a matchup with South Carolina within the Elite Eight. The Blue Devils misplaced to the Gamecocks earlier this season in Columbia by 11 factors, however the since-injured Ashlyn Watkins performed in that sport and ACC Rookie of the Yr Toby Fournier was ineffective for Duke in that first matchup. It’s additionally value noting that, in rematches this season after shedding the primary sport, Kara Lawson is 4-0, notching wins in her second attempt in opposition to North Carolina, Louisville, Notre Dame and N.C. State.
8. Texas
I do know Texas is a No. 1 seed, however even when they emerge from a Candy 16 battle with Tennessee unscathed, it’s considerably tough to think about them beating a workforce like Notre Dame or TCU within the Elite Eight. The Horned Frogs are enjoying with momentum and Notre Dame already beat the Longhorns by 10 earlier this season.
7. TCU
TCU beat Notre Dame earlier this season, however Liza Karlen and Maddy Westbeld didn’t play in that sport for the Irish. And in opposition to a middle like Sedona Prince, having publish depth like that would make an actual distinction for Notre Dame. Within the Candy 16 for the primary time ever although, the Horned Frogs have already exceeded expectations and are enjoying with home cash.
6. LSU
Kim Mulkey’s Tigers ought to be ok with their path to the Last 4 in that they don’t must face South Carolina or UConn in Spokane, and their first opponent – N.C. State – is a workforce they’ve already crushed. However the Wolfpack are a little bit of a unique workforce since they noticed LSU again in November. For one, Tilda Trygger – who performed simply 4 minutes of their final assembly – is now the beginning middle for N.C. State and has confirmed to be greater than only a serviceable participant within the paint. Additionally, did y’all see what the Wolfpack did to Michigan State?
5. N.C. State
All the pieces appears to be clicking for the Wolfpack proper now, who’ve misplaced simply as soon as of their final 9 video games and defeated six NCAA Match groups in that span. Madison Hayes is coming off a career-best capturing efficiency, Saniya Rivers continues to do a little bit of the whole lot for them, and it’s March – so Aziaha James is enjoying properly. The query for LSU and sure UCLA is, who’s going to cease all these guards?
4. UCLA
One might make the case that, with USC’s Watkins injured, UCLA’s Lauren Betts is the most effective participant left within the match. If she flexes her dominance within the Candy 16 and Elite Eight, there’s not a workforce in Spokane geared up to deal with the 6-foot-7 middle on the peak of her powers.
3. South Carolina
Recollections of that February loss to UConn nonetheless linger, and folk reminded within the second spherical that these Gamecocks are certainly weak after they began gradual in opposition to Indiana and trailed the Hoosiers at halftime. South Carolina then, after all, stomped on the fuel within the second half, however the Gamecocks can’t afford to have sluggish halves in opposition to any of the groups within the Birmingham 2 area.
2. Notre Dame
The Irish appeared to have gotten their act collectively and performed a few of their greatest basketball of the season in a second-round win over Michigan. That’s the Notre Dame workforce we noticed that was ranked No. 1 within the nation earlier than shedding in double-overtime at N.C. State, and that’s the Notre Dame workforce that’s able to successful this complete factor.
1. UConn
Most on-line sportsbooks made the Huskies the betting favourite to win the nationwide title after Watkins’ harm. And certainly, their path to the Last 4 simply obtained lots simpler. UConn is rolling and its smallest margin of victory throughout this 12-game win streak was by 19 factors in opposition to Creighton. One might simply make the case that UConn has a Huge Three – Paige Bueckers, Sarah Sturdy and Azzi Fudd – that’s nearly as good or higher than any trio within the nation. This might be the yr that Geno Auriemma’s Huskies finish their nationwide title drought.
